Forex: USD/CAD down targeting daily low - FXStreet.com Forex: USD/CAD down targeting daily low - FXStreet.com

Tuesday, May 29, 2012

Forex: USD/CAD down targeting daily low - FXStreet.com

Forex: USD/CAD down targeting daily low - FXStreet.com
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FOREX-Euro edges up but Spain fears leave it vulnerable - Reuters UK

Tue May 29, 2012 9:22am BST

* Euro stays near last week's low just below $1.25

* Doubts grow that Spain can support ailing banks on its own

* Eyes on whether Spanish govt bond yield hits 7 pct

* EUR short covering may be curbed ahead of Irish referendum

By Jessica Mortimer

LONDON, May 29 (Reuters) - The euro edged up against the dollar on Tuesday as investors cut hefty bearish bets in the currency, but worries about Spain's banking sector left it hovering close to its lowest levels in nearly two years.

Analysts and traders said the euro had good support at the $1.2500 level and Friday's trough of $1.2495, with bids around that area, but expected it would soon break lower given the extent of the concerns surrounding the euro zone debt crisis.

Worries about the cost of shoring up Spain's banking system lifted its debt yields on Monday, driving the gap between Spanish and German 10-year yields to euro era highs, as the risk grew that Spain may be forced to seek an international bailout.

The euro was up 0.2 percent at $1.2566, with traders citing demand from corporates and Middle East names.

Having failed to clear resistance at previous support around $1.2625 for three days in a row, however, the euro was vulnerable to another test of Friday's low, which marked its weakest since July 2010.

"We may see a bit of consolidation here but going forward we still have a euro that is very weak and vulnerable. The widening of spreads between Spain and Germany and Italy and Germany keeps worries about the debt crisis very much alive," said Niels Christensen, currency strategist at Nordea in Copenhagen.

"I don't see the euro moving above $1.27. It's only a matter of time before it breaks $1.25. This is psychological support but it's not a big level like the January low was (around $1.2624) and that has clearly broken."

The euro gave up most of the gains made on Monday after Greek polls showed more support for pro-bailout parties ahead of the country's election on June 17. That eased fears Greece may leave the euro zone.

Bids just below $1.25 may support the euro for now, though further losses could see it drop towards $1.2450, where traders reported stop-loss sell orders.

"Although pessimism over Greece is somewhat receding, worries about Spain are growing, with markets watching whether the Spanish bond yield will hit the seven percent mark," said Masafumi Yamamoto, chief FX strategist at Barclays in Tokyo.

Short-term, the euro may continue to be held up by bouts of short covering. Speculators bolstered short euro positions to record highs in the week ended May 22, leaving ample scope for a correction as they cut positions and book profits.

TROUBLES IN SPAIN

Many traders expect further downside in the euro as they fear troubles at Spanish banks hit by a bust in property could further complicate Madrid's efforts to rein in its debt.

Spain's fourth-largest lender Bankia has asked for a bailout of 19 billion euros, in addition to 4.5 billion euros the state has already pumped in to cover possible losses on repossessed property, loans and investments.

Prime Minister Mariano Rajoy on Monday again ruled out seeking outside aid to revive Spain's banking sector, though many investors are sceptical this will be possible.

Spanish 10-year bond yields rose above 6.5 percent on Monday. A level of 7 percent is seen as critical as euro zone countries that have previously requested bailouts did so soon after their 10-year yields rose above that mark.

Any buying in the euro may also be curbed ahead of Ireland's referendum on Europe's new fiscal treaty on Thursday, although the market is cautiously optimistic that the Irish will support the treaty on fear that a "no" vote could add fuel to the fire.

Against the yen, the common currency fetched 99.87 yen , not far from a four-month low of 99.37 yen hit last week. The yen, along with the dollar, was supported by the market's risk averse mood.

The dollar stood at 79.47 yen, not far from a three-month low of 79.002 yen.

The higher-yielding Australian dollar was up 0.4 percent at $0.9888, above last week's six-month low of $0.9690.



Forex: EUR/USD off session highs - NASDAQ

FXstreet.com (Barcelona) - The single currency is retracing some ground after hitting 1.2574, today's high so far, as risk-on trade is creeping back.

The Spanish banking system, with Bankia in the eye of the storm, continues to be on centre stage on Tuesday, amidst statements by the Bank of Spain assessing that the economic activity would accelerate its downside into the second quarter. It is worth noting as well, that Spanish retail sales have declined 9.8% YoY during April, the biggest drop since 2003 and the 22nd consecutive fall.

At the moment, the cross is up 0.13% at 1.2555, with the next resistance at 1.2625 ahead of 1.2639 (MA10d) then 1.2690 (high May 23) and 1.2820 (high May 22).
On the other hand, a violation of 1.2495 (low May 25) would expose 1.2483 (low Jul.2 2010) then 1.2398 (high Jun.28 2010) and 1.2386 (MA21d).



Forex Signals - EURUSD Still Falling - Int'l Business Times
PipHut.com

Recap: We didn't enter any new trades before the weekend (as promised), or yesterday since the US Banks were closed for Memorial Day. The markets did open with a bullish gap, however, which has already been closed and the pair is within 20 pips of it's Friday closing price.



FOREX-Euro falls near 2-year low on Spain worries - Reuters

Thomson Reuters is the world's largest international multimedia news agency, providing investing news, world news, business news, technology news, headline news, small business news, news alerts, personal finance, stock market, and mutual funds information available on Reuters.com, video, mobile, and interactive television platforms. Thomson Reuters journalists are subject to an Editorial Handbook which requires fair presentation and disclosure of relevant interests.

NYSE and AMEX quotes delayed by at least 20 minutes. Nasdaq delayed by at least 15 minutes. For a complete list of exchanges and delays, please click here.



For those with more money than taste... the £125,000 diamond encrusted gold coins on sale to celebrate Queen's jubilee - Daily Mail

By Lucy Waterlow

|


Forget commemorative mugs or tea towels, there's now a much more elaborate souvenir on sale to mark the Queen's diamond jubilee.

But with a price tag of 125,000, you'll need more money than taste in order to afford it. 

The East India Company has released 60 minted gold coins, one for each year of Queen Elizabeth II's reign, encrusted with diamonds to celebrate the royal milestone.

Despite the hefty price tag, the company has revealed that it has had 'brisk and determined interest' from monarchist collectors and investors from across the globe.

Diamond Queen: The East India Company have released 60 of these gold coins encrusted with diamonds to mark the jubilee

Diamond Queen: The East India Company have released 60 of these gold coins encrusted with diamonds to mark the jubilee

The gold coins weigh a kilo and feature the head of the Queen wearing a diamond tiara, necklace and brooch with the words 'Elizabeth Regina, Diamond Jubilee 1952-2012' around the outside.

They have also released 60 silver coins of the same design and weight but at a 'cheaper' price of 25,000.

Each kilo struck by The Royal Mint represents over 1,000 hours of craftsmanship - and the company has received particularly high interest in the coins from international buyers.

As a result, the company is now scheduling private viewings in Monaco, Moscow, Geneva, Hong Kong, the Middle East and India.

The East India Company, which has a flagship store in Mayfair, has long-standing links to the British monarchy.

Expensive souvenir: Diamonds are encrusted in the tiara, necklace and brooch of the Queen's image raising the price of the one kilo gold coin to 125,000

Expensive souvenir: Diamonds are encrusted in the tiara, necklace and brooch of the Queen's image raising the price of the one kilo gold coin to 125,000

Queen Elizabeth I founded the East India Company in 1600 by Royal Charter.

In the 19th century, the company set jewels in a tiara for Britain's other diamond Queen, Queen Victoria, when she was crowned Empress of India. 

Sanjiv Mehta, CEO of East India Company said: 'The company was instrumental in building the British Empire with its legacy still visible today in what we know as the Commonwealth Nations.

'We chose to commission the Royal Mint, another quintessential British brand who first minted coins for us over 200 years ago, with this unique project to create a timeless tribute that reflects the grand achievement it celebrates.'

Commemorative: Sixty silver coins have also been made and are on sale for 25,000

Commemorative: Sixty silver coins have also been made and are on sale for 25,000

Given the expensive nature of the purchase, buyers get more for their money than just the coin.

It is presented on royal purple velvet in a bespoke presentation case, designed by British company Linley.

A diamond-magnifying loupe is hidden in the base compartment of the presentation case, which enables owners to get a close-up view of the encrusted diamonds.

The purchase also includes a book which tells the story of the Queen Elizabeth II's 60-year reign.

Here's what other readers have said. Why not add your thoughts, or debate this issue live on our message boards.

The comments below have not been moderated.

Liz looks more like Stanley Baxter on them!

1kg of gold is worth around 33 grand so its way overpriced even with the diamonds

Could you go on a 125,000 shopping spree and hand this coin over as payment? Its like when they sell a 5 coin for 8 .... If I want a 5 coin I will pay 5 for it, thank you please. My other half used to collect coins, before i spent them on the bus

Not a recession for some. "All in it together", [sic] yeh right...

Why say more money than taste? If that is your view of gold and diamonds then you could say that about the Crown Jewels. I hope anyone who buys these coins enjoys them and sees them rise in value.

Yes nice idea but you'd have to be a mug to buy one. Wait until they're going cheap in coin shops or boot fairs.

No thanks, I will stick with the mug priced 1.

I WILL WAIT AND GET ONE FROM THE LOCAL BOOT FAIR IN A COUPLE OF YEARS FOR 50P

and who owned EAST india Co came on no prizes of the Royals have huge Share sionce Old VIC took it all o sorry nationatizedddd LOL

Tat!

The views expressed in the contents above are those of our users and do not necessarily reflect the views of MailOnline.



Most People Are Irrational About The Fungibility Of Money - The Business Insider

Unfungible People

The link between emotions and decision making, particularly financial decision making, has been recognized for years.  This is a tricky area because the connection between emotions and rationality is difficult to unpick, which is why making investment decisions while in an emotional state is usually not recommended.

To complicate matters, though, it now appears that we associate certain types of money with certain types of emotion, and will only spend such money on certain things.  Which is odd, because the last time I looked money doesn’t seem to be especially emotional: it rarely breaks down and starts sobbing when you try and spend it.  Money is fungible, but people aren’t.

Give Me Back My Lawnmower

Fungibility is one of the key attributes of money: it basically means that one dollar is indistinguishable from another – you can turn money into anything money can buy – bread, kippers, thermonuclear weapons, boob jobs, whatever.  One ten dollar note is as good as another one, but if I lend you a lawnmower and you give me back a pair of garden shears I’ll not be happy: gardening equipment isn’t fungible.

Fungibility is a core assumption of financial theories and is obviously correct in a technical sense.  Unfortunately being technically correct isn’t something that bothers most individuals, who operate on the basis of personal psychology rather than the theory of money.  Emotions loom large in much financial behavior.  Arguments over the usefulness of emotions have raged over centuries.  The Ancient Greek Stoics believed that they were useless appendages to the human condition, which needed to be ruthlessly suppressed – a view which many philosophers and economists have shared down the years.

Immoral Money

A more nuanced view has argued that emotions are actually evolutionary adaptations which allow us to make rapid decisions in changing circumstances.  As such emotions are more mindful than simple reflexes, and are adaptable as our environment changes; but they’re not really thinking in the sense that we normally mean.  Nonetheless, emotions interact with cognitive processes, and will tend to bias us in certain directions.

One of these directions, it turns out, is to do with the way in which we spend our money.  In Feeling Immoral About Money: How Moral Emotions Influence Spending Decisions the researchers show that if we feel guilty about receiving money – perhaps because we’ve lied to get it – we’ll tend to spend it in “pro-social” ways  that benefit others – by donating to charities, for instance.  However, this only applies to the “dirty money”, and not to other funds.  We effectively segregate the tainted cash.  As the researchers state:

“The specificity of this compensation process suggests that people who feel guilty about money aim to cleanse the tainted money rather than seek to redeem themselves and restore their general moral standing. Moreover, this attempt at cleansing the money may indeed be effective as deciding to spend the money on charity reduced participants’ feelings of immorality and guilt associated with the money”

Even better, if the emotion associated with the money was anger rather than guilt we decrease our spending on charities – and on other people.  So if, for example, someone receives a smaller bonus than they think they deserve, then their response to receiving the money is not pleasure or gratitude, but anger and resentment.

Mental Accounting

The idea that we tag certain money with emotions is similar to another behavioral effect we’ve previously witnessed – the idea of mental accounting, where investors assign money to different pots and then treat them completely independently (see: Mental Accounting: Not All Money Is Equal).  Indeed, this has been used to provide a behavioral treatment of why people buy insurance and lottery tickets – the behavioral portfolio idea of Hersh Shefrin and Meir Statman, where people have downside, low risk investments and upside, high risk ones and don’t like seeing securities move between them; which is maybe why investors don’t like dividend cuts. (see: Behavioral Portfolios).

Jonathan Levav and Peter McGraw have developed the ideas of emotionally tagged money and mental accounting into a theory of moral accounting, wherein the circumstances under which money is received determine the way in which it’s consumed.  In Emotional Accounting: How Feelings About Money Influence Consumer Choice they argue that people will tend to avoid spending negatively charged money on luxuries such as a holiday and are more likely to attempt to “launder” the money by spending it on something virtuous, such as education.

Moral Accounting

When Luc Christiaensen and Lei Pan looked at how this impacted fungibility in On the Fungibility of Income - Spendings and Earnings in Rural China and Tanzania, they observed:

“The results suggest that people are more likely to spend unearned income on clothing, alcohol and tobacco, transportation and communication, as well as gifts, while they are somewhat more likely to spend earned income on staple foods and invest it in education.”

Or, roughly, the harder people have to work for their money the less likely they are to spend it on so-called hedonic goods, and the more likely it is that it’ll be used for virtuous or necessary spending.  It’s perhaps not surprising then that the way financial windfalls are framed determines how they’re spent.  Nicolas Epley and Ayelet Gneezy in The Framing of Financial Windfalls and Implications for Public Policy found:

“Governments, employers, and companies provide financial windfalls to individuals with some regularity. Recent evidence suggests the framing (or description) of these windfalls can dramatically influence their consumption. In particular, objectively identical income described as a positive departure from the status quo (e.g., as a bonus) is more readily spent than income described as a return to the status quo (e.g., as a rebate).”

Hard Work, Careful Investing

So, money perceived as easily earned is more impulsively spent than money which is come by through hard work.  There’s no research on this as regarding investors, at least that I can find, but it suggests that people who look to trade for short-term profits rather than long-term gain are more likely to invest in speculative enterprises.  Certainly day traders rapidly become more confident and start placing riskier bets, as Juhani Linnainmaa relates in The Anatomy of Day Traders:

“Conditional on remaining in the market, day traders become more confident and aggressive as their careers progress; they more often sell stocks that they do not own, trade in larger sizes, and become more highly leveraged. The decision to try day trading again after successful first day trade resembles the behavior of problem gamblers.”

Hardly conclusive, but interesting nonetheless.  Putting emotional tags on specific pots of money and framing them in terms of being hard earned or windfall profits will likely influence the way we choose to spend that money.  How many investors sell half a holding when it’s doubled and then take a “free ride”?  That’s not a windfall, it’s fungible investment cash which should be treated with due respect.

One-Eyed People

It is, of course, fundamentally hard to strip emotion away from the source of money, but the evidence strongly suggests that we need to do so.  Money is money is money.  It’s all fungible and a behaviorally educated person will put their emotions to one side when deciding how to spend it.

It’s no coincidence that the only people who behave like economists say they should are people trained in economics (see: Studying Economics Makes You Mean).  Whilst I wouldn’t wish that on anyone, we’ll all allocate our cash better if we’re trained in behavioral economics.  Always remember that in the land of the blind the one-eyed man is King.



Helping Aging Parents Manage Their Money - Yahoo Finance

Felicia Gopaul's 79-year-old father had always been careful with money. But when Gopaul heard from a family friend that her father had bought $50,000 in gold from a telemarketer, she knew it was time to help him manage his finances, especially in light of his advancing dementia.

Gopaul's brother took their father to the bank and helped him put the gold into a safe deposit box. They also added him to the National Do Not Call Registry and put expired credit cards in his wallet. "If a telemarketer calls, my dad now gives them a credit card that no longer works," explains Gopaul, who works as a certified financial planner in Bloomfield, N.J. "My father has the belief he is helping the telemarketers, and we no longer get surprised by persistent telemarketers."

[See 10 Ways to Avoid Online Scams.]

Estimates from the Aging, Demographics, and Memory Study at Duke University show that 13.9 percent of Americans over age 71 have dementia, so Gopaul is among the millions of caregivers trying to protect parents from financial predators and help them manage their money. Of course, even those who don't have a dementia diagnosis may find it more challenging to pay bills or stay on top of finances as they age.

As Gopaul has discovered, the role reversal between parent and child isn't easy. Here are some strategies to get started.

-- Watch for red flags. Every family situation is different, but when parents stop taking care of themselves or their home, it may be time for their adult children to speak up. For instance, Cindy Lail says while visiting her parents' house, she noticed that her mom had food in the refrigerator that was past its prime. "She would normally take good care of her fridge, so that was something they're not doing that they normally would."

After noticing her parents' lapses, Lail, who works as a money manager and certified senior adviser in Atlanta, offered to monitor their finances. A look at her dad's credit card bills revealed that he'd paid to renew his computer's antivirus software 11 times because he didn't understand how to use the activation code in his email. Lail called the software company to resolve the issue.

[See Should Seniors Live Alone or With Family?]

-- Start small. A heavy-handed approach could rub parents the wrong way, so tread carefully. Pete D'Arruda, president of Capital Financial Advisory Group in Cary, N.C., and host of the Financial Safari radio program, suggests giving parents a book or audio book about financial matters to show your concern and jumpstart the conversation. "It's about letting the parents know you care without them thinking that you're coming in and trying to take over," he says. "If their eyesight is good, you could highlight chapters in a book."

Adult children might ask their parents' permission to access copies of bank statements or set up online banking and automatic bill pay, especially if parents and children live in different parts of the country, adds D'Arruda.

Lail suggests offering these strategies as a way to help, not take over. "My dad seems relieved now to not have to keep up with things, plus it gives him an excuse to call me," she says. "He'll call just to make sure I'm taking care of things." As parents regress, Lail sees them acting like teenagers at times. "You can't tell a teen what to do," she says. "Sometimes you have to lead them to a place where they will make the right decision. You can't meet them head-on with what you want them to do because then they are going to dig in their heels."

-- Stay in touch with other people in your parents' life. In Gopaul's case, a concerned friend clued her into her father's gold purchase. After that discovery, Gopaul instructed her father's caretaker to answer the phone for him and only hand over the phone if it was someone who really needs to talk to him.

D'Arruda suggests meeting with parents' financial advisers in person to build trust. "I like them to bring their children with them, as their own personal financial planning team," he says. "Children should be educated on what mom and dad are doing, especially if the mom and dad are in a second or third marriage. The widow is distraught and all of the sudden a smooth-talking guy comes along and takes their money."

Lail visited her parents' local bank branch to introduce herself and keeps in touch with members of their church (which she attended growing up). "They can point out things sometimes," she adds.

[See How to Help Family Members Without Hurting Your Own Finances.]

-- Keep other siblings in the loop. Sharing responsibility for aging parents can cause friction amongst siblings, especially if there are concerns over a potential inheritance. Some families choose to delegate financial responsibilities to one person, while others divide tasks according to siblings' skills or proximity or hire a professional instead.

For instance, Lail's brother lives closer to their parents, so he handles in-person tasks like driving to doctors' appointments while she monitors the finances online. "I keep [my brother] involved," she explains. "He knows all the log-ins so he can go look at it. We are both on the bank account, so he could go to the bank if he needed to."

-- Set up power of attorney. A power of attorney form authorizes an agent to make business or financial decisions on the grantor's behalf, while durable power of attorney means the agent can act even after the grantor dies or becomes incapacitated.

If a parent is willing to sign and notarize a power of attorney form, it could give the adult child greater oversight of the parents' finances. However, the topic can be touchy, especially for parents used to their independence. Lail's father was receptive to giving her power of attorney because "if something happened to him, mom might not be able to handle the things that needed to be done to access the money."

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