PFI was used by the Labour government to rebuild Britain's schools, hospitals and roads, but was attacked by its many critics as privatisation by stealth. Infrastructure UK, the Treasury body, is currently poring through 150 responses to a consultation that would see what is colloquially known as "PFI mark II" introduced.
But, it is understood that its chief executive, former Alistair Darling adviser Geoffrey Spence, has settled on at least two major changes. These are expected to be sketched out at a conference of public and private sector parties, such as NHS trusts and construction companies, in September.
The Government wants pension funds to finance a large chunk of a £200bn infrastructure programme that ministers hope will kick-start the economy.
However, pension funds have historically been unwilling to put equity into the construction phase of such projects, as it is deemed risky with a very high chance of litigation between client and builder.
Infrastructure UK would look to stimulate this early investment in the next PFI round by allowing pension funds to inject debt as well as equity into the projects. PFI schemes were often 90:10 debt-to-equity, with the banks getting their money back first when the public sector repaid the cost of building and running the property over a 25 to 35-year contract.
By putting up debt, pension funds would see most of their money almost guaranteed to be repaid, making the investment less of a risk. The equity owner can be penalised if the asset misses certain targets, as rudimentary as receptionists failing to answer the phone quickly enough.
An industry source said: "The problem for pension funds has been that the first pound is always repaid, but the last pound – the equity – is the least likely to be repaid. A debt position is a better position to have."
A major criticism of the PFI has been that the public sector has not shared in any of the profit made when the private sector equity holder, often a builder or support services group initially, sell on their stake. The public sector could now take about 50 per cent of the profit from these sales, which in PFIs currently under negotiation alone could be worth £1.5bn to £2bn.
Forex currency trading - pressbox.co.uk
Added: (Sat Jun 16 2012)
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Submitted by:Andrei Ionescu Find out more.PM to keep finance after Pranab resigns? - New Kerala
New Delhi, June 16 : Prime Minister Manmohan Singh might take charge of the Finance Ministry for some time after Union Finance Minister Pranab Mukherjee resigns from the post later this month.
Mukherjee will resign from the post as he will be contesting in the Presidential election as United Progressive Alliance (UPA)'s candidate. He is likely to resign from his post on June 24.
The political equations are also heavily in favour of Mukherjee getting elected as the next President of the country.
Singh might take charge of the Finance Ministry keeping in mind the tough economic situation through which the country is passing at present.
He had earlier taken charge of the Finance Ministry for a short period of time during UPA-I.
Mukherjee's resignation will also vacant the post of Leader of the House in the Lok Sabha.
According to reports, the reshuffling of the Union Cabinet will take place by end of June.
Moreover, the growing discontent between key ally Trinamool Congress and the UPA has also fueled new speculations.
The fresh troubles between the TMC and the UPA over the selection of Presidential candidate reflected the growing differences between the two.
TMC supremo Mamata Banerjee has refused to support Mukherjee as the candidate for the titular post.
Political observers said that Banerjees move has made her exit from the Indias ruling UPA coalition inevitable and could lead to the forging of new ties.
The exit of TMC will also leave several crucial positions that are occupied by its ministers vacant.
TMC leader Mukul Roy is currently the Railway Minister of the country. (IBNS)
Race for Finance Minister: After Pranab, who next? - MoneyControl.com
The race to Rashtrapati Bhawan may be over but the hunt has now begun to find a replacement for Pranab Mukherjee in the Finance Ministry. But what is corporate India's expectation from the new minister in this crucial portfolio?
The corporate India is looking forward to a reformer in the North Block. Former Infosys director Mohandas Pai said, "Corporate sector is disappointed with the Finance Minister's Budget which sends back to the pre-reforms days. India Inc is relieved and hoping for a finance minister who will be much more open, transparent and growth oriented."
But who will be that person? The spin-doctor of 1991 Dr Manmohan Singh, the Prime Minister himself, is likely to hold the portfolio temporarily and sneak in some changes he wants.
The other options for the post are:
Jairam Ramesh, 58, Rural Development Minister: An economist, the MIT graduate is seen as close to the Gandhi family. He was one of the backroom players who shepherded the Congress party's election campaigns in 2004 and 2009.
Articulate and media savvy, Ramesh supports cutting fuel subsidies and opening up the supermarket industry, which he opposed earlier.
In a recent interview with a local business daily, he said time for "pussyfooting" on major economic reforms was over and the government needed to "take the bull by its horns".
To his advantage, Ramesh is able to build rapport with alliance partners as well as opposition parties. At a time when the government has been left hamstrung by unruly allies, Sonia Gandhi could settle for a person who can bring partners on board to push divisive reforms needed to revive the economy.
However, he carries an image of being anti-development. As an environment minister, he had red-flagged several mining and infrastructure projects on environmental concerns.
P Chidambaram, 66, Home Minister: A familiar face and a senior party stalwart who held the post during the global financial crisis in 2008.
His deft handling of the situation then, helping India avoid the worst of the downturn, makes him a leading candidate to take over an economy mired in the doldrums.
Although it's been nearly four years since he moved over to the interior ministry, his heart is seen to be in his previous job. Former colleagues from the finance ministry recall him as having an eye for detail and cannot be bluffed.
Considered to be a reform-oriented taskmaster and a market friendly face, Chidambaram enjoys the confidence of both Prime Minister Singh and Sonia Gandhi.
But an image of "intellectual arrogance" has earned him detractors both within and outside the party.
He is also under siege. Opposition parties question his role in a multi-billion dollar telecoms scam that has undermined the Congress-led government. His family is under scrutiny over a controversial telecom deal. Chidambaram, himself, is battling charges of rigging his election to parliament in 2009.
C Rangarajan, 80, Chairman of the Economic Advisory Council to the Prime Minister: Seen as a dark horse in the running for finance minister, he is one of the most trusted aides of Prime Minister Singh.
Rangarajan has worn various hats both within and outside the government, and would bring long experience to the job. Unlike other contenders, he has generally avoided controversy.
He is widely perceived as a hawk who frowns upon expansionary fiscal policy and high inflation, and is an advocate for fuel subsidy reforms and long-pending financial sector reforms. He favours building consensus before allowing foreign investment in multi-brand retail and aviation.
However, Rangarajan is not seen as a political heavyweight, even though he was governor of Andhra Pradesh for six years and was a member of the Rajya Sabha. Congress is seen to prefer a politician who can deliver votes in the 2014 parliamentary elections.
Montek Singh Ahluwalia, 68, Deputy Chairman, Planning Commission: The Oxford-trained economist has been a key figure in Indian economic policy since the mid-1980s. He is an influential adviser to the prime minister and is also India's Sherpa for the G20 Summit.
A supporter of open markets, he has been pushing the government to implement long-pending reforms like ending controls on fuel prices, lifting caps on foreign stakes in the insurance sector and allowing in foreign supermarkets.
He is close to Singh and was a key member of the team that navigated the economy out of the 1991 balance of payment crisis.
Ahluwalia is said to harbour political ambitions and was seen as front-runner for finance minister in 2009, but was thought by Congress to be too market friendly. A lack of political base also went against him.
He has also been hurt by controversies, including the definition of a poverty line at 32 rupees a day.
Anand Sharma, 59, Trade Minister: A lawyer-turned politician, Sharma is perceived to be reform-oriented and enjoys the confidence of the Gandhi family.
He is credited with arresting the slide in India's exports after taking over as trade minister in 2009 through a combination of bilateral trade agreements and diversification of export markets. He has also overseen bold steps to liberalise trade ties with arch-rival Pakistan.
Sharma has been pushing for liberalising foreign direct investment rules and succeeded in getting the government's approval for allowing foreign direct investment (FDI) in multi-brand retail, an initiative thwarted by coalition allies. Permitting FDI in the aviation sector is the next big ticket item on his agenda.
Sharma's stature in the party could be a handicap. He is not seen as a political operator and does not bring a large base of political support. Blame for the embarrassing flip-flop on FDI in retail is often put at his doorstep.
The challenge is immediate and daunting. How to restore India's economic growth miracles, the omens are not good, a farewell to incredible India could also mean a farewell to the party in power.
(With inputs from Reuters)
Frankfurt's Greek bankers are torn over Germany's attitude to their homeland - Daily Telegraph
Mr Athanassiadis, 33, is well aware of the dangers. Having lived in Germany for 11 years, much of it in the country's financial capital, Frankfurt, he admits that he has adopted a Germanic attitude to debt, duty and legality.
"As soon as I arrive at the airport in Greece, the taxi driver asks where I am from and then begins ranting about how Germany is destroying Greece," he said.
"But then I say to the taxi driver: 'Are you helping Greece? Do you pay all your taxes?' and he will look shocked and say 'Of course not!'
"That is the problem; if we Greeks can live in Germany as dutiful, law abiding citizens then why can't we do it at home?"
He said that the last time he returned home to his village of Polykastro, in the north, he made few friends "because I told it to them like it is." It is little easier for him in Germany. The Pakistani sandwich maker who delivers to his central-Frankfurt office at lunchtime offered to give him a discount because he was a suffering Greek.
At work, colleagues joke whether Greece would still have been able to play in the Euros if it had dropped out of the euro.
"I still think Angela Merkel is just doing her job," he said. "It's like a big brother telling the rebellious little brother what to do. We need a more German system – albeit one with Greek flexibility. She is right that we need to change our way of thinking."
But Mr Athanassiadis's support for the German chancellor is far from universal among Greeks living in Europe's financial centre. Athanassios Kotsopoulos is a financial lawyer, who worked in-house for a German bank before setting up his own practice, specialising in Greco-German finance.
"Angela Merkel is not being straight with her own people," he said. "She is not explaining to them how essential it is for Germany that Greece stays in the eurozone, and the whole euro does not collapse.
"She won't admit to her electorate that, at the end of the day, she will have to do anything necessary to support Greece and keep the euro alive."
Mrs Merkel has so far refused to waver from her position: that Greece must stick to the austerity measures prescribed by the EU, and that greater EU fiscal integration is not possible without political union.
She dismisses the idea of "Eurobonds" – proposed by the French president, Francois Hollande and Mariano Rajoy, Spain's prime minister - as "counterproductive" quick fixes.
"I'm hearing that she will be forced to accept a 'European solution' – meaning a common budget, pan-European financial oversight, Eurobonds, the lot," said Mr Kotsopoulos, who believes that it is inconceivable that Greece will leave the euro.
Others are not so sure. One German economist told The Sunday Telegraph he was certain Greece would leave the single currency.
"In the short term, they may buy themselves a bit more time. But in the longer term, there's no way they can stay in the euro," he said.
In a video-conferencing room above the trading floor of Commerzbank – one of Germany's largest banks - Christoph Weil, its Greek specialist, was more diplomatic.
"The only thing I know for sure is that Monday will be a very busy day," he said. "If Greece leaves the euro, it will cost Germany 75 billion. How much will it cost to keep them in the euro? The German public is not ready to pay forever, but then is this an acceptable cost?"
The German banker, who was part of a Commerzbank team that travelled to Athens to assess the situation last year, said that Greece was in dire need of a dramatic restructuring of its public sector, which he described as "over-sized, highly inefficient and nepotistic".
"It was absolutely wrong for Greece to enter the euro," he said. "People said 'It's only a small country of 10 million people; it can't possibly destabilise the EU' – but they were mistaken.
"And now we need a solution. A banking union is not a good thing, as the very problem is structural weaknesses in the peripheral countries. Eurobonds are not a good idea – but I think they will come. A fiscal compact is a good idea – but only if all countries stick to it."
And that may be a big ask. "The only solution for Greece is a return to the drachma," said Alexis Valavanis, a Greek businessman in Frankfurt. "Then we can devalue our currency, sort ourselves out, and return to focusing on growth."
Surely his friends back in Thessaloniki cannot share his view, given that every survey shows an overwhelming majority of Greeks want to remain in the euro?
"It's only because they do not understand what is happening. The press is all controlled by Pasok and New Democracy, the parties who insist that Greece will be destroyed if we leave the euro.
"But now we have a situation where we are not free to make our own decisions and do what is right for our country."
He pulled out his mobile phone and gleefully showed The Sunday Telegraph a video of Nigel Farage, the Ukip MEP, haranguing Jose Manuel Barroso, president of the EU commission, and Herman Van Rompuy, EU President, for depriving people of their sovereignty.
"I am flying back to Thessaloniki on Sunday morning just to vote," he said proudly. "We live in a world where democracy has been taken away from us. My vote is the only thing left for me and I must do it for my country."
Given all the obvious patriotism among Greeks in Germany, would any of them ever go back permanently?
"They say we Greeks all have the eyes of Odysseus – always looking for a way to go home," said Aris Athanassiadis, the investment manager. "But given all the turbulence at the moment, I don't think that will be for a while yet."
CITY MONEY MEN BURN MIDNIGHT OIL IN FEAR OF GREEK APOCALYPSE NOW - express.co.uk
While Greece has a small economy, worth just 172.9billion, a disorderly default and an exit from the euro could have big consequences around the world. Thursdays Mansion House speeches by Chancellor George Osborne and Sir Mervyn King, governor of the Bank of England, show how they fear the eurozone storm.
This week the BoE will begin offering UK banks 5billion a month of cheap funding to help them survive problems caused by the eurozone. Sir Mervyn also hinted that central banks in the US, UK and Japan could take co-ordinated action to flood the markets with billions in cheap finance to stop the global economy seizing up and keep banks afloat.
For Britain, hopes of a trade-led recovery have long passed because of the EUs troubles. Our trade deficit jumped last week, in part due to a 6.8 per cent fall in exports to Europe.
If a large eurozone economy is engulfed, the Office for Budget Responsibility says it could lead to two full years of recession in Britain, shrinking the economy by 1.9 per cent in 2012-13 and 0.2 per cent in 2013-14. A Greek euro exit could also mean a further 121billion loss on money loaned and pledged to finance the euro, the Bruges Group think-tank has said.
The resulting collapse in market confidence would send share prices plummeting around the world, hitting pension pots and savings.
Billy Burrows, of the Better Retirement Group, said anyone buying a 100,000 pension annuity will get 10 per cent less for their money than a year ago because of falling gilt yields. A Greek exit could also lead to a run on European banks, especially in Portugal, Italy and Spain, where the banks received a 100billion euro bailout only last week.
If no party wins today, coalition talks could drag on for weeks, destabilising markets and forcing central banks to pump billions into the banking sector to stop a new credit crunch.
With so much riding on such a small state, the outcome of todays elections in Greece will be watched nervously around the world.
Cartel money laundering cases tough but critical - Miami Herald
McALLEN, Texas -- When it comes to arresting drug traffickers and dismantling organized crime, the investigation into a U.S. horse racing operation allegedly laundering money for one of Mexico's most powerful cartels is rare - and difficult to prosecute.
Unlike most drug busts, the backbone of sophisticated money laundering cases is a complicated trail of paper - reams of bank, tax and property records - that usually take years to track. But hitting organized crime where it hurts the most - the money flow - is the most effective way to shut the crime networks down, investigators say.
"The money is much more valuable to the trafficker than the drugs are," said John Kirby, a former federal prosecutor in San Diego, who worked on money laundering cases against the Arellano-Felix cartel, among others. "If you want to hurt these guys that's how you do it, because that's the end product. That's what they really want. And if you can try to take that away, then you're really having an impact."
During his 10 years in the U.S. Attorney's office, Kirby said he prosecuted hundreds of drug traffickers. "I had eight good money laundering cases. They're just hard."
Chasing organized crime's money flow isn't a new tactic. The same racketeering laws being used against Mexican cartels today are the ones that targeted the mafia in the 1970s. Money laundering was spelled out as a federal crime with a 20-year maximum sentence per count in 1986 as law enforcement officials increasingly recognized that just seizing the drugs wasn't enough to bring down traffickers.
In this latest case, federal agents raided an Oklahoma ranch, a New Mexico quarter horse race track and sites in Texas on Tuesday, alleging a brother of a leader in the Zetas drug cartel was using a horse-breeding operation to launder money. Millions of dollars went through the operation, which bought, trained, bred and raced quarter horses throughout the southwest United States, the indictment says.
Eight people were arrested, including Jose Trevino Morales and his wife in Oklahoma. Two of his brothers and four others remain at large.
"That case will be a model, a blueprint for a long time to come of how we need to take on these 21st-century criminal techniques," said Douglas Leff, who was chief of the FBI's Asset Forfeiture and Money Laundering Unit before recently returning to New York. He expects more cases because of a 2010 Mexican banking law that makes it difficult to deposit U.S. dollars into accounts across the border. That means cartels will do more money laundering in the U.S., he says.
"If we can follow the money successfully, that's going to be the avenue that leads us to the top of the food chain rather than somebody who's just a trusted manager," said Leff, who spent some time on the case while at headquarters.
The government's investigation into the horse operation began in January 2010 with a tip from an informant in Mexico that two Trevinos at the top of the Zetas organization were the real buyers behind two quarter horses that sold for more than $1.1 million at an auction in Oklahoma City, according to court records. The IRS had its own investigation of Jose Trevino, and the investigations merged in February 2011.
Usually the drug cash was smuggled back into Mexico and run through currency exchanges for an initial rinsing. Then the Trevino brothers recruited Mexican businessmen to wire payment or write checks for horses bought in the U.S. to make the transactions appear legitimate. They would reimburse them in cash. At other times, workers for the Zetas' Dallas cocaine distributor passed drug cash directly to Jose Trevino - at least once at a Wal-Mart outside Dallas - cutting out the return trip to Mexico, court records say.
GOP has big money week, with spending on House races expected to trickle up, hurt Obama - FOX News
Republicans have poured millions this week into the effort to elect Mitt Romney and congressional GOP candidates -- a multi-level, coast-to-coast attack that also takes aim at swing states and President Obama.
The biggest spender this week appears to be the National Republican Congressional Committee, which has reserved roughly $18 million in advertising time in districts from California to Massachusetts to protect their House majority.
“What we’ve said from Day One is we’re going on the offensive across the country against House Democrats,” committee spokesman Paul Lindsay said Thursday.
He also acknowledged that efforts to defeat Democratic congressional candidates are inevitably connected to the president.
“It’s clear House Democrats are going to have to deal with the toxicity of President Obama’s agenda,” Lindsay said.
The reserved ads -- from the NRCC’s independent expenditure arm -- could go into as many as 25 congressional districts and either target vulnerable Democrats, or help Republican incumbents in tough challenges.
The committee could shift the spending among the district or change amounts -- just as House Democrats could with the $32 million in reserved ads they announced earlier this year. But the early buys suggest where the parties have drawn battle lines.
The NRCC, for example, has earmarked nearly $2 million to defeat Democratic incumbents Larry Kissell and Mike McIntyre in North Carolina -- a state Republicans appear to increasingly think Romney can win.
Taylor Griffin, a GOP strategist at the Washington, D.C.-based Hamilton Place Strategies, points out the top of the November ticket leads the bottom.
“But regardless of the candidate, the message will be the similar,” he said. “All of that (NRCC effort) will accrue for Romney.”
Rob Lockwood, spokesman for the Republican Party of North Carolina, has yet to see the ads, but said Kissell and McIntyre “have been supporters of President Obama’s failed agenda” and any ad will likely make such a case.
“The money is going to help compare and contrast,” he said. “They have been Obama supporters, and the ads will demonstrate the shortcomings of both.”
Also this week, the Romney campaign began running $3.3 million worth of TV ads in seven general election battleground states -- Colorado, Iowa, North Carolina, New Hampshire, Nevada, Ohio and Virginia, according to officials who track ad purchases. The officials spoke on the condition of anonymity because the campaign has not announced the advertising plan.
The announced spending came in the same week wealthy casino mogul Sheldon Adelson gave $10 million to Restore Our Future, an independent group running ads that support Romney's campaign. Adelson and his family had already contributed $21 million to a super PAC that helping Newt Gingrich when he was still a GOP presidential candidate.
The Romney campaign ad buy was first reported by CNN. The Adelson contribution to Restore Our Future was first reported by the Wall Street Journal.
The contribution and the spending follows a record month for Romney and Republican National Republican Committee, who in May raised roughly $17 million more than Obama and Democratic National Committee -- $76.8 million to $60 million, respectively.
Griffin said whether Obama -- a master fundraiser in 2008 with the advantage of an incumbent -- can catch up remains to be seen.
“Ask an economist,” he said. “If the economy starts to recover, he’ll have a more credible case.”
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