"I think people sitting at home know that the Government doesn't have a bottomless pit of money," he said.
"Obviously we look at all these things, I think there are dos and don’ts for the Government. What the Government mustn’t do is try and borrow its way out of debt. You can’t borrow your way out of the situation we’re in, it would be very dangerous for Britain.”
He suggested that the Coalition would focus on making sure householders and businesses have access to cheap loans.
"What we can do is use the fact that we have credibility, we have some of the lowest interest rates we’ve had in Britain for hundreds of years, use that credibility to make sure those interest rates are also available to the homeowner, to the small businessman wanting a loan,” he said.
Danny Alexander, the Chief Secretary to the Treasury, has already signaled that the Government is unlikely to be able to afford to scrap the increase.
“Given the huge issues we have with public finances, we also need to make sure that we’ve got the money coming through the tax system, and the increase in fuel duty is part of that,” he said earlier this week.
Motorists groups have urged the Government not to take advantage of the recent falling petrol prices to argue that the 3p tax rise should go ahead.
Brian Madderson, chairman of the Petrol Retailers Association, said it would be “opportunistic” of the Treasury to hope that people would not notice the extra tax.
“David Cameron knows it is right to scrap this increase while the country struggles with a second recession,” he said. “The decision to do so would not be a U-turn, but common sense prevailing as the economic outlook deteriorates.
“Road fuel is no longer a luxury but an essential part of everyday life. The planned duty increase will penalise lower income earners, pensioners and the unemployed and will push inflation up."
The average price of petrol has fallen by 9.83p a litre since its peaks in April to around 132.65p this week.
The price of oil on the international markets has fallen by around a quarter since March, helping to bring down inflation.
However, Paul Watters, head of public affairs at the AA, warned that the planned duty rise will only "increase the inflation rate and put more pressure on hard-pressed families and business in the UK once again”
Mother and daughter, 73 and 40, 'used online dating scam to bilk $1M from women who thought they were sending money to soldiers in Afghanistan' - Daily Mail
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A mother and daughter in Brighton, Colorado, teamed up with Nigerian fraudsters to bilk 374 women out of $1 million by posing as soldiers in Afghanistan on online dating sites, authorities say.
Tracy Vasseur, 40, and her mother, Karen Vasseur, 73, are accused of laundering the cash for the Nigerians running the scam. They allegedly kept 10 percent of the profits and passed the rest on to their African partners.
The Colorado Attorney General says Nigerian men posted fake dating profiles claiming to be soldiers and developed online relationships with women from around the world.
Scam: Tracy Vasseur, 40, and her 73-year-old mother Karen are accused of work with Nigerian scam artists to launder $1 million in ill-gotten gains
They used fake documents and photos to convince their victims of their stories, the Denver Post reports.
After developing trust with the unsuspecting women, the Nigerians asked for money -- either to buy a satellite phone so they could communicate more frequently, or to help finance visits to their new 'girlfriends.'
Many of the women gave thousands of dollars. Some sent tens of thousands, including a British woman who claimed she wired a total of $60,000 to her new 'boyfriend.'
All of the cash was actually sent to bank accounts in Brighton owned by the Vasseurs, according to prosecutors.
In 2011, Brighton police warned the women that they were in the midst of a criminal scam.
They continued anyway, the Post reports.
The two women had more than 20 accounts at local banks that they used to move the cash around and hide their ill-gotten earnings, authorities say.
Prosecutors didn't say how the women developed their relationship with the Nigerian fraudsters.
None of the Nigerians were identified. Internet shysters in the country have proven notoriously difficult for American authorities to track down and prosecute.
A valuable lesson in pocket money - The Independent
No wonder experts say parents should introduce their children to basic financial matters at an earlier age than ever. "Teaching children the value of money from an early age provides a good foundation for their future spending habits, and sends positive messages about managing finances and living within one's means," explains Simon Walsh, spokesman for Family Lives. "Their observations of how you spend, save, budget and donate to charities can shape early views about money management."
Get them involved in making their own financial decisions too. "My eight-year-old son Henry knows that if he wants something, he must select a few items he no longer wants, photograph them, write a description and put them on eBay," says Rebecca Gunn, 39, who lives in Bedfordshire.
Like many parents, Gunn also uses pocket money to help her son to understand its value. "It stops him walking into a shop wanting everything he sees. It makes him think about what he wants and he enjoys weighing up the pros and cons of things as the week goes on."
Research from Equifax reveals a growing emphasis on encouraging children to "earn" their pocket money through basic chores such as washing up and tidying up. The average amount children receive, according to another survey by Halifax, is £4.57 for 8-11 year-olds and £7.02 for 12-15 year olds. "Each of my two children, aged five and seven, has a special job around the house once a week," says Sarah Brown, a 40-year-old mother from Kent. "It means they realise they need to contribute something to earn money."
A vital component of the pocket money concept, she believes, is that kids discover their own spending power. "This is where, as a parent, you have to get the balance right between parental advice and allowing your child to make their own decisions – and therefore mistakes. It's definitely given my children an understanding, which did not exist a year ago, of how important it is to know how much things cost," says Brown. "Even simple things like checking the price tag on the box to see if it's affordable, is not something you see many kids do. Perhaps most satisfying of all is that my eldest, has opened a bank account and is already beginning to grasp the concept of interest."
When your children hit their teens, consider swapping pocket money for a monthly allowance, but the same principles apply, advises Pritee Chohan, Money for Life Programme volunteer and a branch manager for Halifax. "Sit them down to explain the differences between the savings accounts on offer and help them to budget for that holiday with friends or for driving lessons. By the time they leave home, they should have all the money savvy they need to make a great start in life."
Key finance job goes to careercivil servant - Financial Times
June 20, 2012 7:28 pm
FXCM Leads The Way In Forex - Seekingalpha.com
Forex refers to the market in which currencies are traded. The forex market is the largest, most liquid market in the world with an average traded value that exceeds $1.9 trillion per day and includes all of the currencies in the world. The market is open 24 hours a day and currencies are traded worldwide. When forex trading first started popping up, the markets were very risky. It was new and so the rules and regulations were a bit confusing and a bit slim. The high volatility of the currency markets was, and for the most part still is, a factor that most investors have trouble stomaching. The internet is flooded with trading systems promising to make you rich. Everyone claims to be an expert. However, as more and more reputable sources are touting the successes of forex trading, the market is slowly growing.
Retail foreign exchange broker FXCM (FXCM) recently acquired a 50% controlling stake in boutique computer-model driven trading firm Lucid Markets Trading Limited for $176 million. This deal serves to underscore the clout of new, often high-speed trading firms. U.K. Based Lucid Markets has seen a stellar rise in its status in the traditionally banks-dominated field of price-making. The company has had only four days of losses since its inception in 2009, the biggest one-day loss being less than $70,000. This is the largest acquisition that FXCM has undertaken. FXCM traditionally serves individual market traders, but in recent years has made a push into the institutional space. This deal will extend its capabilities into the institutional currency markets. In addition, FXCM will have the right to purchase the remainder of the business within the next four years. This will give FXCM in expanding its business past individual traders.
E*Trade Financial Corporation (ETFC) is a popular online brokerage for the individual investor. In recent years they have partnered with FXCM to bring forex trading services to their wide clientele. Ameritrade (AMTD) offers forex services for its clients through its own proprietary forex trading platform. Interactive Brokers (BKR), similar to Ameritrade, also offers its investors forex trading services through its own proprietary platform. However, while E*Trade and Ameritrade target the everyday investor, Interactive Brokers caters to the more high net worth clientele. Interactive Brokers also offers its services to institutional investors. However, if you are looking for a solid forex experience, this is FXCM's area of expertise.
As more and more people are facing their fears in the forex markets, those companies that cater to the needs of foreign currency exchange investors will see their companies grow. This is a global market with endless opportunity for growth. FXCM is perhaps one of the largest forex brokers. They are certainly one of the most reputable and well-respected. This company, especially with its new acquisition, would make a great addition to any long-term portfolio. And without the risk and volatility of actually investing in forex markets.
Disclosure: I have no positions in any stocks mentioned, and no plans to initiate any positions within the next 72 hours.
Finance: Grinding to a halt - Financial Times
Last updated: June 19, 2012 9:53 pm
Debt crisis: live - Daily Telegraph
19.25 Ben Bernanke has said that the US Fed is willing to take further steps if necessary to promote growth and create jobs. Unemployment is still too high, and going down too slowly, he says.
19.17 The Fed, having announced the extension of Operation Twist, has now slashed its economic growth estimate for this year by a half point. GDP is now expected to grow by a maximum of 2.4pc by the end of the year, and the jobless rate will rise to as high as 8.2pc.
18.51 We have more from Angela Merkel now. She says it's "one of the options" that the EFSF or ESM start buying bonds, there are "no concrete plans".
There are no concrete plans that I know of but there is the possibility in the EFSF and the ESM to buy bonds on the secondary market, bound up of course always with conditions. But that is a purely theoretical comment about the contractual situation. This is not a subject for debate right now.
18.30 Angela Merkel has said that bond-buying by the EFSF/ESM is possible, but only "purely theoretically". It sounds like the plan could still encounter some resistance. Nonetheless, the glimmer of permission from Merkel is enough to boost markets.
18.21 US markets are now up for the most part, as the Fed extends Operation Twist - a plan to sell short-term debt and buy long-term, in the hope of bringing down interest rates.
18.07 Angela Merkel has called Greece's brand new prime minister Antonis Samaras to wish him "luck and success for the difficult work ahead of him", and to invite him to Berlin.
17.58 The yield on 30-year US debt - exactly the sort of thing likely to be snapped up as part of Operation Twist - fell dramatically in the minutes after the announcement by almost ten basis points. Brent crude was also down $2.67 on the news.
17.51 US stocks have taken a turn for the worse since the Federal Reserve announcement. Mark Martiak, senior wealth strategist at Premier/First Allied Securities, says:
I'm surprised markets have taken a slight turn downward, but markets don't feel good that there is extended liquidity. Pumping liquidity into the system concerns the market over time.
17.37 The US Fed has twisted again: its monetary stimulus plan, "Operation Twist" will be extended by $267bn in a bid to boost the economy as the central bank still sees weakness.
17.28 Spanish 10-year bond yields are coming down slightly today, currently sitting around 6.66pc. Dr Nicholas Spiro, managing director of Spiro Sovereign Strategy, says:
When a €100bn financial support package prompts a sharp spike in yields but rumours of bond-buying that proved ineffective in the past leads to the biggest one-day fall since December, it's clear that restoring confidence in Spain's bond market is going to prove devilishly difficult.
17.17 As we near the US Fed announcement, just a word more on Greece: Dr Michael Jacobides of London Business School says the country is in "septic shock":
The politics remain messy, the underlying structural issues persist, and Greece is in a contraction spiral that reduces its tax receipts and social security contributions. Greeks may have bought another summer in the euro and the eurozone may have bought time to better prepare for a potential Grexit.
Greece is currently in “septic shock” with consumption having nose-dived and investment having been halted due to the political and potential currency instability.
16.56 Finland, one of the few countries in the eurozone still clinging to a AAA rating, does not accept Mario Monti's proposal for the EFSF/ESM to directly buy government bonds. Although that's what they were created to do...
Prime Minister Jyrki Katainen said:
These are instruments created to secure liquidity for countries in trouble, and the funds are not sufficient for purchases made in the secondary markets.
The idea is expected to be discussed at a meeting of leaders in Rome on Friday.
16.39 European markets have come to a close for the day, boosted by the prospect of QE from the Bank of England and the US Federal Reserve. Angus Campbell, head of market analysis at Capital Spreads, says:
The FTSE has been boosted once again by the prospect of further stimulus from central banks across the globe as the latest minutes from the Bank of England all but confirmed we’ll see another round of QE next month from them. With the Governor Mervyn King being outvoted as revealed by the minutes today it’s almost a guarantee that he’ll get his own way next month. From the moment the BoE minutes were released buyers came into the market and pushed the FTSE back above the 5,600 level where we still remain going into the close. Also, this evening expectations are high for an extension of Operation Twist from the US’s Federal Reserve.
15.38 Greece has formed a new government, and attention looks likely to shift across the Atlantic this evening. The US markets have opened slightly lower ahead of the US Fed's policy announcement, due at 5.30pm London time. Two hours after that we'll also have fresh growth estimates which will give an indication of how healthy the rate of economic recovery is.
That's not to say that the Greece situation is resolved. Far from it, writes Richard Driver, analyst for Caxton FX:
In truth, the real work starts now as the government sets about renegotiating the terms of its bailout - this is the real source of market nerves. Merkel has sounded pretty tough on the bailout agreement issue but it’s pretty widely recognised that a bit of leeway needs to be granted.
One thing for sure, Greece is far from out of the woods yet and we fully expect the euro to suffer further declines in the months ahead.
15.31 Pictures of the swearing-in of Antonis Samaras are starting to emerge.
15.05 And a little bit more - Mr Samaras has spoken to the public, from Alex Spillius again:
Antonis Samaras emerges from his swearing in to ask for God’s help in running the country. According to one count, he is Greece’s 185th prime minister.
15.00 Alex Spillius has some colour from the swearing-in ceremony in Greece:
Antonis Samaras is being sworn in as prime minister by Archbishop Ieronymos, head of the Orthodox Church of Greece. It's official now; Greece will be governed. We hope.
14.59 Antonis Samaras has been sworn in as the new prime minister of Greece.
14.48 The US Fed is holding the second half of a meeting today to decide whether or not to release a new round of QE. We should hear by 5.30pm in London. Kathleen Brooks, research director for the UK and EMEA at Forex.com, has this to say:
As much as I would love to be a fly on the wall at the Fed meeting, I am not and due to this there is no point guessing what it will do. At this stage the odds are fairly balanced. The reason why it might do QE: the eurozone crisis is far from resolved, the labour market is showing signs of weakness, the markets have started to price in QE hence the rise in the euro, the SPX 500 etc. and the Fed doesn’t like disappointing the market. Thus, the Fed may choose to do more QE as a premptive measure in case the economy gets worse over the summer and the Eurozone crisis blows up (again).
However, the reasons for remaining on hold are equally compelling, if not more so in my view. Firstly, more QE is costly as the Fed would need to do at least $600bn worth of purchases of Treasuries, MBA’s or both to have an impact. Secondly, successive attempts at QE tend to have a diminishing effect on the market, hence the Fed would have to pledge to open-ended purchases to really have an impact. Thirdly, interest rates are already at record lows in the US.
14.10 Not everyone is won over by the new Greek government:
And others suggest that the second round of elections were a waste of time, ultimately, and that a government could/should have been formed last time.
13.54 Anticipation is mounting ahead of Antonis Samaras' arrival, Kathimerini tweets:
13.30 Greece looks to be squaring up for a battle of wills with its EU and IMF paymasters. Alex Spillius sends this from Athens:
13.27 Another flash from Reuters reports that conservative leader, Antonis Samaras, is to be sworn in as prime minister after meeting the president later on today.
13.08 Some more detail on the earlier move by the European Commission to play down ideas that eurozone resuce funding could be used to lower high borrowing costs for Spain and Italy via a bond buyback.
Reuters reports that Amadeu Altafaj, spokesman for the EU's eurozone commissioner Olli Rehn, said using the European Financial Stability Facility - or its successor, the incoming European Stability Mechanism - to tame runaway bond yields and spreads "could be useful to calm markets."
The idea, according to some reports from G20 talks in Mexico, is to use hundreds of billions of euros available in the EU financial firewall to buy debt directly from governments struggling to obtain competitive rates on money markets. This would force down the risk premium.
However, Altafaj told a regular Commission news conference that this would likely only work "for a certain time" and would not resolve root tensions. "It would be financial paracetamol," he said. "It could soothe tension, pain and malaise... but it does not heal the root causes, the structural problems of the economies of Italy, Spain and others.
12.47 A dispatch from the Telegraph's Alex Spillius. He writes:
Greek television reports that Antonis Samaras, New Democracy’s leader, would visit the president Karolas Papoulias at 4pm local time to inform him that he had succeeded in forming an administration. Looks like we have lift-off, or at least government, after two months of inaction.
12.43 Greece has apparently got a government and has also avoided an energy crisis, after a gas supplier, DEPA, secured a €100m loan to pay foreign suppliers.
But, in a stark sign of the struggles faced by Greeks living with the repercussions of rising unemployment and crippling social cuts, thousands have been queuing for food handouts in Athens.
12.32 A party official has told Reuters that Greek parties have agreed that National Bank Chairman, Vassilis Rapanos, will be finance minister
12.30 More from Venizelos: he says the key issue will be to form a bailout renegotiation team.
12.27 Breaking: Reuters flash reports that Evangelos Venizelos says Greece has a government.
He adds that the cabinet make-up of the new government will be discussed by Wednesday evening.
12.26 Football face-off: Angela Merkel is apparently due to attend Friday's Euro 2012 quarter-final with Greece in Gdansk, which will see the troubled country pitched against its northern paymaster.
Reuters reports that German and Greek players have sought to play down the importance of a game, but Greek media have relished the prospect of sending the German team home in front of Mrs Merkel, who is a deeply unpopular figure for the tough austerity she has imposed on the country in exchange for its bailout.
Berlin spokesman Georg Streiter said the chancellor had accepted an invitation from Polish Prime Minister Donald Tusk to attend the game in the Baltic coast city.
Pressed on whether Merkel would meet Antonis Samaras, who is working to form a new Greek government after his New Democracy party won elections at the weekend, Streiter joked: "Maybe in the halftime break."
12.20 While Greece sorts out its government, Nicholas Spiro at Spiro Strategy has cautioned that it is merely a "distraction from the deep-seated problems facing the country and the eurozone in the coming weeks and months":
If Greece itself is a sideshow, then the new government, provided it is formed, is of little consequence. Indeed there is a significant risk that a coalition comprised of figures from Greece's discredited establishment may even exacerbate matters.
The only "winner" in Sunday's election is Mr Tsipras. Not only has he won the argument that changing the terms of the bail-out agreement does not in itself equate to Greece's repudiation of its membership of the eurozone, he's now in the political driving seat as a popular leader of the opposition. Provided it is formed, the New Democracy-led cabinet will be a weak and distrusted administration which will have to drive a hard bargain with the eurozone if it wants to remain in office for longer than a few months.
12.09 It seems the Bank of England has seen a strong take-up for one of its new liquidity measures. The Bank’s new External Collateral Term Repo will see the central bank pump a minimum of £5bn every month into the banks in the form of six-months loans. Today, it was announced that the Bank had allotted the full £5bn.
The scheme allows banks to borrow central bank funds in return for lower-quality collateral than they would usually be able to use, including residential mortgage-backed securities, securitised credit card debt, student and consumer loans and some types of asset-backed commercial paper.
12.00 You can all breathe easy now. With anticipation mounting that the Bank of England could launch another round of QE, Britain's chief debt issuer has said that a further round of stimulus is unlikely to cause any disruption to the UK government bond market.
"More QE is unlikely to impact the smooth functioning of the gilt market," Robert Stheeman, chief executive of the Debt Management Office, told Reuters.
"At the moment, the market continues to grow - we continue to issue - and I see no signs that the liquidity of the market is such that would suggest that the BoE might have concerns," he said. "The market has proved remarkably resilient to the emergence of a single, very large investor."
But, he cautioned that an unruly outcome of the single currency zone's crisis could have a negative impact on some Gilt Edged Market Makers, the primary dealers through which Britain sells its debt.
11.47 That meeting between Antonis Samaras and Evangelos Venizelos is apparently underway. Stay tuned for any further developments on the creation of a coalition government in Greece.
Samaras, whose New Democracy party narrowly won Sunday's election, has a three-day mandate to form a government.
He earlier met the head of the Democratic Left party, which is said to back a coalition if a final agreement is reached, but will refuse to place senior politicians in the cabinet. The meeting with Pasok's leader, Venizelos, should hopefully wrap up a deal.
11.42 The Telegraph's Philip Aldrick and Robert Winnett have this tale on Robert Jenkins, a member of the Bank of England's Financial Policy Committee, warning that traders should prepare for a Lehman re-run:
Speaking at the Global Alternative Investment Management conference in Monaco, Mr Jenkins warned: “Those of you who traded asset backed securities in 2008 can testify to the speed with which liquidity can disappear. Yet despite these examples, many continue to assume that ... ‘liquidity’ is free and will be freely available.
“Short-selling bans in Europe and bond purchase penalties in Brazil are a foretaste of the future. I recommend that you send your best and your brightest to the library to research state intervention in the post war period. It could come in handy. For like clean air and water, market liquidity is no longer limitless and no longer free.”
11.30 According to Reuters, the European Union Commission has indicated that there is no formal request to relieve tension in the bond markets using bailout funds.
11.17 Labour leader Ed Milliband has voiced his opinions on the G20 summit, saying it appears to offer no progress for Europe and no global plan for jobs and growth. At a speech to the Which? Awards 2012 today, he will say:
We all know the great challenges facing the UK and global economies. Growth slowing. Rising borrowing costs in Europe. Unemployment high across the world. Squeezed living standards in the developed world, for year after year. And Britain, the only country in the G20 apart from Italy to be in a double dip recession.
You know them, the public knows them. Big challenges, needing a big response. This G20 summit should have marked a decisive shift towards jobs and growth, which is vital if we are to get deficits down. Unfortunately this has not happened because too many governments, our own included, seem to think more of the same is the answer.
The result is a summit that appears to offer no progress for Europe and no global plan for jobs and growth. It is a summit of division, when the world needs unity. And a summit of inaction when people, in Britain and across the world, are crying out for action.
11.05 Kathimerini, the Greek newspaper, has some further tweets on the political manoeuvrings in Greece:
10.56 The latest twist in Greece's attempts to form a coalition government: the leader of the Democratic Left has said that his party will give a vote of confidence in the new government. He has also said that his party wants the new government to gradually disengage from the bailout deal. His comments came after holding talks with the conservative chief, Antonis Samaras.
10.45 A quick round-up of the markets shows that they are indeed rather quiet. The FTSE 100 is up just 0.2pc to 5597, France's CAC is virtually flat at 3116 and Germany's DAX is up 0.2pc to 6375.
Spain and Italy's 10-year bond yields remain easier this morning, down 14 basis points and 9 basis points respectively to 6.8pc and 5.8pc.
10.42 Despite the Bank of England minutes, talk of a bailout and the unemployment figures, Chris Beauchamp, market analyst at IG Index, writes that it is a quiet day on the markets so far:
It’s been a quiet morning so far in London, with the FTSE barely changed, as hopes of Fed action look likely to keep traders in limbo for most of the day.
Investors tread carefully today, lest they are caught out this evening by a Fed statement that confounds expectations. As the global economy teeters on the brink, and the eurozone crisis festers away in the background, the hope for many is that Helicopter Ben and his band of policymakers at the Fed will unleash a new round of stimulus, or at the very least tweak the language of their statement to make it more accommodative.
With no real economic news of note to fixate upon this afternoon, we will be left twiddling our thumbs until 4.30pm (London time), when the Fed’s statement will emerge.
10.29 Analysts at Royal Bank of Scotland reckon that the "knife-edge" Bank of England vote means that QE is coming in July:
The MPC voted 5-4 against extending QE purchases at the June meeting, much closer than the expected 7-2 outturn. Mervyn King, Adam Posen and David Miles voted for a £50bn extension, Paul Fisher for £25bn. In response to this we bring forward our forecast for £50bn of QE from August to July. Unanimity prevailed on Bank Rate – and we continue to regard a cut as unlikely.
The shift is clearly being driven by the deterioration in financial market conditions: 'More significantly, however, the risks to UK and global activity from financial distress and political tension within the euro area had intensified again.' (Para. 26).
It is also clear from the Minutes that some of the five members voting for no change believe that further QE is likely to be required soon: 'On balance most members judged that some further economic stimulus was either warranted immediately or would probably become warranted' (Para. 27). Some residual concerns about inflation lingered (these will presumably have diminished following the May CPI data and the general deterioration in the demand outlook) and some members wanted to wait for election outcomes in Greece and France and the EU summit at the end of June before voting for more stimulus.
10.17 Figures from Switzerland show that investor confidence fell to the lowest in five months in June, sliding to -43.4. Switzerland's economy is expected to deteriorate as the euro crisis and the franc's appreciation over the past three years threaten the country's exports.
10.09 Back to the eurozone for a moment, Jens Weidmann, president of Germany's Bundesbank and a member of the European Central Bank governing council, has said that it is up to Greece to keep the bailout on track. He told a German magazine that Greece must bring its reform programme back on track if an assessment by the EU/IMF/ECB troika comes to the conclusion that it has fallen off the rails.
He added that the Greek election had not changed the fact that Greece needed to stick to its bailout programme to receive further financial aid. "If there are discrepancies [from the programme], we have to analyse the causes, but first of all it will be up to Greece to demonstrate that there is a way to repair it," Weidmann said.
According to Reuters, he added that the Bundesbank's opposition to the ECB's bond purchase programme was known and that he was also not in favour of issuing joint short term "eurobills".
10.02 Some Twitter reaction on this morning's Bank of England minutes, which revealed a 5-4 split on more QE:
09.54 Sterling fell briefly against the dollar and the euro on signs that the Bank of England policymakers are on the verge of another round of easing. The pound fell to a session low of $1.5651 after the minutes of the bank's meeting were released.
09.45 Commenting on the Bank of England minutes, Ian Williams, an economist and strategist at Peel Hunt, said:
That move next month [to increase QE] now looks an absolute certainty, given the inflation data we've had and everything else .. . We keep throwing money at the problem, but that doesn't mean it's going to fix them.
The impact of domestic monetary policy moves on UK equities is becoming less significant, [and] this was pretty much in line with expectations. Certainly the comments they've made since the meeting have been a big flashing green light.
09.40 Figures just out show that the number of Britons claiming unemployment benefit rose unexpectedly in May, climbing by 8,100 when analysts had forecast a fall of 3,000 on the month.
09.38 Although the Monetary Policy Committee voted 5-4 against restarting the gilt purchases they started in June, the minutes showed far stronger support for quantitative easing than many economists had expected, and there are expectations that there could be a majority for more QE as early as next month.
09.36 Bank of England minutes are out and show the bank is on the verge of approving another round of monetary stimulus, with Governor Mervyn King supporting an extra £50bn of gilt purchases.
09.32 Martin Wolf of the Financial Times has written on the eurozone's unhappy marriage - 'A bitter fallout from a hasty union' (£). Writing that non-eurozone leaders at the G20 "must feel like marriage counsellors trying to reconcile partners far too different in character and values to live happily together", he concludes:
I can envisage five outcomes: first, a happy marriage, on Germany’s terms, albeit after a painful period of adjustment; second, a miserable marriage, which endures because a break-up is too costly; third, a degree of mutual accommodation, in which the north becomes more southern and the south more northern; fourth, a partial break-up, with the remaining members moving into one of the three previous categories; and, finally, total break-up. What is certain is that Germany will not get the eurozone it wants easily or swiftly. If partial or total break-up is avoided, the period of difficulty will be long and painful. The crisis of the eurozone is likely to be a very long-running soap opera – if it does not end in tragedy.
09.07 Kathimerini English, a newspaper published in Athens, tweets on today's coalition wranglings:
09.03 Efforts to form a coalition government in Greece continue. The conservative New Democracy, which narrowly won Sunday's re-run election, is seeking an alliance with the socialists of Pasok and with Democratic Left. Evangelos Venizelos has said that an agreement could be reached by midday today.
New Democracy leader, Antonis Samaras, is scheduled to meet with Mr Venizelos at 10.00 and with the Democratic Left's Fotis Kouvelis an hour later. There are suggestions this morning that the Democratic Left has agreed to join the coalition, but will not join the cabinet.
08.45 There might be mutterings of a bailout, but the likes of LCH Clearnet are still playing it safe. Europe's biggest clearing house has raised the extra deposit it takes from clients to trade most Spanish government bonds amid mounting concerns that leaders are failing to tame the debt crisis.
Bloomberg reports that the margin needed for Spanish securities due in 10 years to 15 years will be increased to 14.7pc from 13.6pc.
An increase in the margin requirement reduces the amount of cash banks are able to borrow using the Spanish government bonds as collateral in so-called repurchase operations, dimming their appeal, and meaning holders need to commit more of the securities to get the same size of loans.
“The LCH margin increase is part and parcel of a process where every institution involved in a given trade tries to protect itself, thereby accelerating the speed with which Spanish bonds fall,” said Sebastien Galy, a senior foreign- exchange strategist at Societe Generale.
08.36 Equities across Europe are coming under pressure this morning, despite suggestions of a bailout for Spain and Italy and despite hopes that the Federal Reserve could unleash another round of stimulus measures. The latest two-day monetary policy-setting Federal Reserve Open Market Committee meeting concludes today, with a decision on interest rates and any possible further capital injections for the US economy due after the bell in London. Expectations are high that the US central bank will extend its bond-buying programme, dubbed "Operation Twist".
Andrew Taylor, market strategist at GFT Global, said:
With such strong expectations that the Fed will announce a measure of stimulation, the market may find itself caught 'Long and Wrong' should Chairman Bernanke decide not to live up to the markets wishes. The door is definitely open for the Disappointment Trade.
08.20 Commenting on the possibility of the bailout funds buying part of Spain and Italy's debt, Nicolas Doisy at Cheuvreux asked: "Eurobonds on their way at last? Let's keep our fingers crossed!" He added:
The key political take-away is that Germany is at last agreeing to show more "federal" solidarity, i.e. to partly underwrite the sovereign debt of Eurozone crisis countries. From a market perspective, if confirmed, this would preserve the ECB's independence and ring-fence Spain and Italy, by capping the long-term yields of both countries.
In the longer term, such a change of gear would amount to initiating the premise of a Eurobond, to the extent that it introduces some form of joint and several liability crucially involving Germany. This could open the way to the "Redemption Fund" meant to gradually take over excess debt of peripheral members of the Eurozone in particular.
All in all, this would be a way to keep Italy and Spain onboard Merkel's two-speed Eurozone by effectively tying them closer to the core Eurozone.
08.00 London markets are now open and trading slightly lower:
07.50 The bond markets are happier today, following the news that eurozone leaders will discuss using the bailout funds to buy government debt directly - although nothing has been agreed by Germany yet.
The yield on Spanish 10-year government bonds was 13 points lower at 6.829pc, after falling below 7pc yesterday, while Italy's bonds fell 10 basis points to 5.79pc.
07.40 Louise Armitstead has done a very good job of explaining how the bailout funds could be used to buy government debt, and the crucial change that would need to be agreed first:
Since the programme started in June 2010, the ECB had bought €210.5bn (£170bn) of bonds. But in recent weeks the bank has stopped the SMP, despite Spain's bonds yields tipping over the 7pc danger level and Italian bonds pushing over 6pc.
Experts said markets were unlikely to be convinced by the plan unless Germany agrees to some concessions, particularly giving the ESM a bank licence.
Raoul Ruparel, of Open Europe, said: "With a licence the ESM could borrow from the ECB and then buy bonds. But if it has to issue its own debt in the market before it can buy Spain's or Italy's then the process will be slow and difficult because the markets are already almost closed. It's hard to see how the plan will work without the ESM having a licence."
07.30 Here's a bit more detail on what was discussed last night at the G20 in terms of using the eurozone bailout funds to buy government debt directly in the market - a job previously only done by the ECB.
Francois Hollande, the French president, said that Italy had proposed using the eurozone's new permanent bailout fund to buy the debt of member states saddled with high borrowing costs and that this was an idea worth exploring.
"Italy has launched an idea which is worth looking at," he said.
The proposal will be discussed at a meeting in Rome on Friday by him, Chancellor Merkel, Spain's Mariano Rajoy and Italy's Mario Monti.
"We are looking for ways to use the ESM for this. At the moment it is just an idea, not a decision. It is part of the discussion," he said.
Mr Hollande said rates paid by Spain and Italy to borrow on debt markets were unacceptable. “We must show a much faster capacity for action,” he said.
Germany is reported to be willing to do more, but has not yet publicly indicated its support for the proposal.
07.17 Back in Europe, Spain and Italy are expected to be bailed-out in a £600bn deal. Robert Winnett reports:
Under the proposed deal, two European rescue funds – the £400billion (€500 billion) European Stability Mechanism (ESM) and the £200billion (€250 billion) European Financial Stability Facility (EFSF) – will buy bonds issued by European countries.
Previously, money in these funds — which has been provided by members of the single currency — has been used to bail out smaller European countries such as Greece, Portugal and Ireland. Governments in these countries were offered money directly in return for agreeing to austerity programmes.
Under the new plan, the money in these funds will not be given directly to governments but will instead be used to buy up debts on the financial markets.
07.05 ...while messieurs EC and EU, aka Jose Manuel Barroso, the head of the European Commission, and Herman Van Rompuy, the head of the European Council, said:
There was a focus on the situation in the Euro area in our discussions. G20 leaders recognised the value of the European project and of the EU's currency, the Euro. They welcomed the measures taken in Europe to stabilise our economies and our financial system and expressed support for our intention to move ahead with deeper economic and fiscal integration. This is an encouragement for the EU. A common currency needs more common policy. Our monetary Union needs to be completed by a more integrated economic union. Our partners have recognised that a strong, deeply integrated European Union is decisive for systemic global stability. This recognition mirrors the momentum which is now building in Europe. The EU is determined to show the irreversibility of the euro and of the European project.
07.07 Christine Lagarde, managing director of the IMF, said "the seeds of a pan-European recovery plan were planted" in Mexico...(even though they've already had two years to do so). She said:
We all are concerned about Europe, particularly the eurozone. In Los Cabos the seeds of a pan-European recovery plan were planted. This must be recognised. European leaders committed to take all measures necessary to safeguard the integrity and stability of the euro area and break the feedback loop between sovereigns and banks. Their intention to consider concrete steps towards a more integrated financial architecture is important, and I look forward to discussing this further when I visit Europe this week to finalize the IMF’s annual review of the euro area.
07.02 Another day, another summit. The leaders of the world's most powerful economies pledged to increase efforts to revive jobs and growth in the global economy yesterday, as euro area members vowed to:
...take all necessary policy measures to safeguard the integrity and stability of the area, improve the functioning of financial markets and break the feedback loop between sovereigns and banks.
You can read the full communiqué here.
Heads of the G20 leading economies pose for a family photo at the convention center in Los Cabos, Mexico, on Monday evening (Photo: AFP)
07.00 Good morning and welcome to our coverage of the European debt crisis.
Greek coalition to plead for leniency on bail-out - Daily Telegraph
Top of the requests Mr Zanias is likely to be a two-year extension for a deadline to find €11.5 billion in public spending cuts by the end of 2014.
Aides to Mr Samaras have said that reductions in sales and corporate taxes and increases to the lowest pensions were also among his priorities, in a bid to alleviate the social hardships deepened by the austerity measures attached to two bailouts totalling €240 billion.
The Eurogroup talks "will be the first big battle on the revision of the bailout agreement", said Evangelos Venizelos, the Pasok leader and former finance minister. With Greece in danger of running out of money in a month, he stressed that the coalition sought "the creation of a framework that will allow us to move to positive growth and to combat unemployment".
Eurogroup chief Jean-Claude Juncker said on Tuesday taht there was scope to discuss "extensions" to Greek austerity measures but not "changing the substance of the agreements". Volker Kauder, the parliamentary leader of Angela Merkel's Christian Democrat MPs, warned Greece that the German parliament, which has a veto over bailouts, was not ready to make any major concessions.
Julian Assange's leading supporters face losing £240,000 in bail money - The Guardian
Some of Julian Assange's most prominent supporters stand to lose up to £240,000 in bail money, provided to secure the WikiLeaks founder's freedom when he first faced extradition proceedings.
A leading criminal lawyer said that following Assange's decision to seek asylum in the Ecuadorean embassy in London and breach the terms of his bail, they would have to persuade the courts why they should not forfeit their money and prove they had done all they could to prevent him breaking the court order.
A group of celebrities and activists, including the socialite Jemima Khan, film director Ken Loach and publisher Felix Dennis, posted cash security of £200,000 to Westminster magistrates court with a further £40,000 as promised sureties when Assange was freed in December 2010.
"The people who have posted the money would have to go to court and plead their case as to why they shouldn't lose their money," said Oliver Lewis, partner at solicitors Powell Spencer and Partners. "There would have to be a pretty good reason why the money shouldn't be forfeited. Usually the court says 'thank you very much, you have lost your money'. You have to show that you have been vigilant and put every effort in to stop it happening."
Vaughan Smith, the founder of the Frontline Club for journalists, hosted Assange at his Norfolk home for over a year and stands to lose £20,000.
"It is not clear to me whether I have a liability but either way I am concerned," he said. "I do believe Julian genuinely feels he will be sent to America – and of course I think the money is important because it relates to the welfare of my wife and children, but they don't feel they are at risk of being sent to America.
"I remain a supporter and it is important we recognise he is a western dissident. There are a lot of people who believe the work he did at WikiLeaks was in the public interest."
Khan confirmed on Twitter that she had also posted bail money for Assange. "I had expected him to face the allegations," she said. "I am as surprised as anyone by this."
Tracy Worcester, the model and actress turned environmental campaigner, confirmed that she had put up a surety for Assange but said she had not yet been able to speak to his legal team about the latest developments and declined to comment further.
The human rights activist Bianca Jagger denied reports that she had contributed to the bail money, tweeting: "I would like to set the record straight. I didn't post bail for Julian Assange."
A spokeswoman for the courts service said it was normal for breaches of bail to be considered at the court that set the bail conditions in the first place, in this case Westminster magistrates court.
"What happens to the money will be decided by a judge if and when he is brought back before the court," she said. "It depends on what the police say about what they think a person has done and what should follow on from that."
New money boost near after knife-edge BoE vote - The Guardian
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