BRUSSELS |
BRUSSELS (Reuters) - Euro zone finance ministers are scheduled to hold a teleconference on Sunday evening to discuss the outcome of Greek elections, two euro zone officials said on Thursday.
Greece holds a parliamentary election on Sunday and polls show that the leftist SYRIZA party, that rejects the terms of the euro zone bailout for Athens, is neck-and-neck with the pro-bailout New Democracy party.
If STRIZA won the election and Greece were to tear up the terms of the bailout, France and other euro zone countries have warned that Greece could face leaving the euro zone and returning to the drachma currency.
One euro zone official said that the main concern, if SYRIZA overwhelmingly won the election, was the risk of large capital outflows from Greece if depositors worry their savings in euros could later be frozen or converted into drachmas.
"It is not even about a bank run on Monday morning after the elections. People can now log on to internet banking and make transfers on Sunday evening as well," a third euro zone official said, explaining the rationale of the ministerial call.
If a SYRIZA victory sparked panic about a return of the drachma, the immediate action would come from the country's central bank, backed by the European Central Bank.
The Greek central bank has the ability to directly inject cash into the country's banks, if savers rush for their money, in the form of Emergency Liquidity Assistance, which although provided by the ECB, would be underwritten solely by Greece.
Top ECB officials and staff would also keep a close watch from Frankfurt and keep in touch with other euro zone central banks, in case there were signs that people in other countries such as Spain were starting to pull their cash from banks.
Among the euro zone contingency plans for a possible Greek exit from the euro are the suspension of the Schengen passport-free zone and imposing capital controls and limiting ATM withdrawals.
(Reporting By Jan Strupczewski in Brussels and Andreas Framke in Berlin, editing by Diana Abdallah)
Money market fund assets fall to $2.554 trillion - Yahoo Finance
NEW YORK (AP) -- Total U.S. money market mutual fund assets fell by $10.68 billion to $2.554 trillion for the week that ended Wednesday, the Investment Company Institute said Thursday.
Assets of the nation's retail money market mutual funds fell by $550 million to $890.20 billion, the Washington-based mutual fund trade group said. Assets of taxable money market funds in the retail category fell by $50 million to $703.57 billion. Tax-exempt retail fund assets fell by $500 million to $186.63 billion.
Meanwhile, assets of institutional money market funds fell $10.13 billion to $1.664 trillion. Among institutional funds, taxable money market fund assets fell $8.47 billion to $1.579 trillion; assets of tax-exempt funds fell $1.66 billion to $84.77 billion.
The seven-day average yield on money market mutual funds was 0.03 percent in the week that ended Tuesday, unchanged from the previous week, said Money Fund Report, a service of iMoneyNet Inc. in Westborough, Mass.
The 30-day average yield was also unchanged from last week at 0.03 percent. The seven-day compounded yield was flat at 0.03 percent. The 30-day compounded yield was unchanged at 0.03 percent, Money Fund Report said.
The average maturity of portfolios held by money market mutual funds was the same as the previous week at 45 days.
The online service Bankrate.com said its survey of 100 leading commercial banks, savings and loan associations and savings banks in the nation's 10 largest markets showed the annual percentage yield available on money market accounts was unchanged from last week at 0.13 percent.
The North Palm Beach, Fla.-based unit of Bankrate Inc. said the annual percentage yield available on interest-bearing checking accounts was unchanged from the week before at 0.06 percent.
Bankrate.com said the annual percentage yield on six-month certificates of deposit was also unchanged from the previous week at 0.21 percent. The yield on one-year CDs was unchanged at 0.32 percent and flat at 0.51 percent on two-and-a-half-year CDs. It fell to 1.11 percent from 1.12 percent on five-year CDs.
Money market funds fall by $10.68 bln in latest week-ICI - Reuters
June 14 |
June 14 (Reuters) - The Investment Company Institute on Thursday issued the following money market mutual fund assets report:
"Total money market mutual fund assets decreased by $10.68 billion to $2.554 trillion for the week ended Wednesday, June 13, the Investment Company Institute reported today. Taxable government funds increased by $2.63 billion, taxable non-government funds decreased by $11.16 billion, and tax-exempt funds decreased by $2.16 billion.
Retail: Assets of retail money market funds decreased by $550 million to $890.20 billion. Taxable government money market fund assets in the retail category increased by $390 million to $188.05 billion, taxable non-government money market fund assets decreased by $440 million to $515.52 billion, and tax-exempt fund assets decreased by $500 million to $186.63 billion.
Institutional: Assets of institutional money market funds decreased by $10.13 billion to $1.664 trillion. Among institutional funds, taxable government money market fund assets increased by $2.24 billion to $683.77 billion, taxable non-government money market fund assets decreased by $10.71 billion to $895.35 billion, and tax-exempt fund assets decreased by $1.66 billion to $84.77 billion.
ICI reports money market fund assets to the Federal Reserve each week. Revisions are due to data adjustments, reclassifications, and changes in the number of funds reporting. Historical weekly money market data back to January 2008 are available on the ICI website."
NOTE: ICI's Web site is www.ici.org
Iain Duncan Smith: poverty is not solved by just more money - Daily Telegraph
Figures to be published today are expected to show that the Government failed to meet its statutory target to halve the problem by 2010 – despite the huge amount of taxpayers’ money spent on tackling it.
Mr Duncan Smith will unveil a new analysis which will show that hundreds of thousands of children will be lifted out of poverty if at least one of their parents works 35 hours a week earning the minimum wage.
The introduction of the universal credit, under the Government’s welfare reforms, will mean that people returning to work from benefits will continue to receive some state support.
Any child living in a household which earns less than 60 per cent of the typical income is defined as living in poverty. This is likely to be changed so that children living in workless households or those with drug-dependent parents are highlighted.
Mr Duncan Smith will also set out plans to change the definition of child poverty so that a more sophisticated analysis is used.
Speaking ahead of his speech at the Abbey Community Centre in London, Mr Duncan Smith told BBC Radio 4's Today programme: "What I'm talking about is getting away from a system that got so trapped in the idea of meeting a relative income target so narrowly that more and more money was spent on welfare but keeping people out of the work process.
"What we need to do is make sure we tackle poverty but tackle it in the process of trying to move them on (to work).
"If you just measure relative income levels you know nothing about what's happening to the family."
In his speech, he will accuse Labour of “pouring vast amounts of money” into increased benefit payments to tackle poverty. He is expected to say that the strategy has failed and parents need to be helped back to work rather than simply subsidised by the state.
He will say: “Getting a family into work, supporting strong relationships, getting parents off drugs and out of debt — all this can do more for a child’s wellbeing than any amount of money in out-of-work benefits.
“With the right support, a child growing up in a dysfunctional household, who was destined for a lifetime on benefits could be put on an entirely different track — one which sees them move into fulfilling and sustainable work. In doing so, they will pull themselves out of poverty.”
He will add: “Our latest analysis suggests that universal credit will ensure the vast majority of children will be lifted out of poverty if at least one parent works 35 hours a week at the minimum wage — or 24 hours if they are a lone parent.
“For those who are able to work, work has to be seen as the best route out of poverty. For work is not just about more money — it is transformative. It’s about taking responsibility for yourself and your family.”
Mr Duncan Smith will indicate that Labour wasted large amounts of public funds as it failed to halve child poverty. “The last Government spoke about the need to tackle poverty, and poured vast amounts of money into the pursuit of this ambition — £150 billion was spent on tax credits alone between 2004 and 2010.
“Overall, the welfare bill increased by some 40 per cent in real terms, even in a decade of rising growth and rising employment,” he will say.
Ministers are drawing up plans to introduce a series of measures to gauge whether families are living in poverty, such as whether parents have drug or alcohol problems or whether they are working.
In today’s speech, the Work and Pensions Secretary is expected to defend the need to change the definition of child poverty. “If a family has less than 60 per cent of the median income it is said to be poor, if it has 60 per cent or more it is not,” he will say.
“By this narrow measure, if you have a family who sits one pound below the poverty line you can do a magical thing. Give them one pound more, say through increased benefit payments, and you can apparently change everything — you are said to have pulled them out of poverty. But increased income from welfare transfers is temporary if nothing changes.”
Mr Duncan Smith’s call for disadvantaged families to return to work may come at an inopportune time with unemployment rising as the double-dip recession has led to a lack of jobs.
William Hague, the Foreign Secretary, caused controversy recently by telling Britons they had to work harder to help the UK escape from recession.
No finance limit forces Obama into fame game - Sydney Morning Herald

Illustration: Simon Letch
This morning, Australian time, the US President, Barack Obama, is due to attend a fund-raising dinner party at the New York home of movie stars Sarah Jessica Parker and Matthew Broderick. Co-hosted by the editor-in-chief of Vogue, Anna Wintour, the price of a ticket was a reported $80,000 a head. Not a good look for the President in the week the US Federal Reserve reported that average American wealth had plummeted to $77,300 in 2010 - down from $126,400 in 2007.
As the US economy is underperforming, unemployment is officially 8.2 per cent and confidence is, at best, wavering, this would not seem to be the time to be hanging out with high-wattage wealthy celebrities. But the President needs the money.
Obama and the now certain-to-be-anointed Republican candidate, Mitt Romney, have opted to not accept public financing for the 2012 presidential election campaign. Previously, candidates would raise money to boost their electoral fortunes before the party conventions, but after that would accept the benefits - and constraints - of public funding.
Now, after a Supreme Court decision that effectively deregulated campaign financing (undoing all those decades of hard work to reform what had arguably been a pretty corrupt system), the bar has been raised significantly.
More money is going to be needed. And there are now virtually no limits on how it is raised or spent.
This presidential election is, according to Obama's senior campaign strategist, David Axelrod, going ''to test the limits of what money can do in politics, because there's gonna be so much of it concentrated in so few states'', as he told New York magazine's John Heilemann earlier this month.
And Obama is now falling behind in the fund-raising stakes. Although at the end of March, when he had raised about US$197 million, he was way ahead of the then-frontrunner Republican contender Romney, who had just $87.5 million, the other Republicans have since coalesced behind Romney - and so have their donors.
Just this week, billionaire Nevada casino owner Sheldon Adelson, who had been backing Newt Gingrich, kicked in $10 million to Romney's Restore Our Future super-PAC (political action committee) and Forbes magazine reports he may well follow that with the $100 million he had promised Gingrich.
Last month, Romney raised $76.8 million to Obama's $60 million, and he is pulling ahead with the very wealthy.
Wall Street has spurned Obama, so far giving Romney $37.1 million and Obama only $4.8 million. Ominously, these sums include donations from 19 people who gave to Obama in 2008 but not this time. Forbes says 32 billionaires, or 8 per cent of their 400 rich list, have donated to Romney and more will follow.
So while Obama continues to pursue the grassroots online fund-raising that was so successful in 2008, for the really big bucks he is being forced to take his begging bowl to three different and potentially risky sources of funds: Hollywood, Silicon Valley and rich gays. No one in the know doubts that the President's decision to support gay marriage was made with an eye to the pink dollar. A few days after the decision, a Hollywood fund-raiser hosted by George Clooney and including high profile gay supporters, raised $15 million.
This strategy is risky because it requires Obama to be hanging out with the mega-rich at a time when his political message is directed to economically distressed Americans, who are striving to return to being middle class. It could easily backfire on him.
The now pretty much united Republicans are trying to portray Obama as more focused on fund-raising than on governing. Given he has done 160 events so far (compared with George Bush's 74 at this time in the 2004 race), including six in just six hours in Maryland last Tuesday, this will not be a hard case to make.
A few weeks ago it was unimaginable that America's first black president may be in danger of not winning a second term but that prospect is now causing apprehension and even panic among Democrats.
The failed recall of the Republican governor Scott Walker in the highly unionised and overwhelmingly Democratic state of Wisconsin is being seen as a huge wake-up call that the party cannot assume that it will win in the presidential election in November.
Consolidated polling is showing just a two-point difference between Obama and Romney. Even among the three key demographics Obama felt confident of holding - women, young people and Latinos - the numbers are starting to close.
If Romney chooses Latino Florida senator Marco Rubio as his running mate, as a straw poll among party conservatives advocated this week, they could be a formidable team able to make significant inroads into the much-needed Latino vote in states such as Florida and Arizona.
Obama shows no signs of improving his ticket would he ditch the Vice-President, Joe Biden, although refreshing his team would seem to be a no-brainer in a tight electoral race. If this is not the time to place the extremely popular Hillary Clinton on the ticket, when is?
Obama's team foolishly set the bar high by leaking their expectation that their guy would be the first in presidential election history to raise $US1 billion and that Priorities USA Action, his super-PAC, would rake in another $100 million. Instead, Obama is struggling to reach the revised target of $750 million and his PAC, according to New York magazine, has just an embarrassing $10 million.
So we will be seeing a lot more of Obama with movie stars and the super-rich in coming months. The only question is whether the money raised will be at the expense of his political credibility - and his electoral prospects.
Twitter: @SummersAnne
Follow the National Times on Twitter: @NationalTimesAU
Debt crisis: ECB last hope as dam breaks in Spain - Daily Telegraph
Spain is caught in a vicious downward spiral as the property crash accelerates, further undermining the banks and state finances. This in turn is drawing Italy into the fire and threatens to overwhelm the EU's rescue machinery.
"We must have a real circuit breaker," said Sondergaard. "The question is whether the ECB will now blink and go down the route of quantitative easing (QE)".
He said the ECB should slash interest rates by half a point to 0.5pc and "pre-commit" to half a trillion euros of QE over coming months, blanketing the Spanish and Italian bond markets.
Nomura said the ECB must act with overwhelming force rather than engaging in piecemeal bond purchases that fail to restore confidence and have the toxic side-effects of pushing existing bondholders down the credit ladder -- the dreaded effect of "subordination".
"The eurozone has the wrong policy mix across the board. Fiscal policy is too tight; monetary policy is too tight; and the tough regulation of the banks is coming at the wrong time. Together it is all pushing the eurozone to breaking point," he said.
Spanish premier Mariano Rajoy said in a private letter to EU leaders last week that the ECB is the only body with firepower and nimbleness able to contain the crisis at this point.
The pleas have so far fallen on deaf ears in Frankfurt where ECB hawks insist that any such intervention to help EMU's struggling debtors would reduce the pressure for root-and-branch reforms.
The bank said in its June report on Thursday that Spain must make further draconian cuts to meet its deficit target of 3pc of GDP next year. It enraged monetarists by denying yet again that the eurozone faces a serious monetary slowdown or "an abrupt and disorderly adjustment" for banks -- or a credit crunch in layman's language.
"It shows fantastic complacency. They are not complying with their own mandate," said Professor Tim Congdon from International Monetary Research. Critics say that all key measures of the eurozone money supply are now contracting, pushing the whole region into deeper slump. The ECB has missed its 4.5pc growth target for M3 `broad money" by a wide margin.
Mr Spiro said the fast-escalating crisis in Italy may force the ECB to act. Foreigners own half Italy's €2 trillion public debt and they are increasingly shocked by the failure of the EU authorities to halt contagion. "Foreigners haven't been buying Italian bonds, but most have not been selling either. The risk is that they will now start selling en masse," he said.
"Italian banks are under massive financial repression to buy the debt but they are running out of money. The ECB will have to act but it has lost so much credbility already that it will have to buy on a massive scale to make a scrap of difference."
The ECB has already bought over €200bn of Italian, Spanish, Greek, Irish, and Portuguese bonds, justifying it as necessary to ensure the proper "transmission" of monetary policy. The move caused a storm in Germany, prompting the resignation to both German members of the ECB board last year. A chorus of economists have exhorted the ECB to cap Spanish and Italian yields at 5pc or so by pledging unlimited intervention. Yet such a naked rescue of insolvent states would trigger legal challenges in the courts for breach of the EU's no-bailout clause.
Professor Paul De Graue from the London School of Economics said the bank should go ahead anyway and "let the lawyers argue about it for the next ten years."
There are no such constraints on outright QE or money printing by the ECB, in extremis. Monetarists say the bank should buy the bonds of all EMU states to lift the entire region and prevent debt-deflation taking hold in the South.
Fresh data yesterday shows how desperate the crisis is becoming in Spain. The property crash is accelerating. House prices fell at a 12.6pc rate in the first quarter of this year, compared to 11.2pc the quarter before, and 7.4pc in the quarter before that. Prices have fallen 26pc from their peak.
"Fundamentals point to a further 25pc decline," said Standard & Poor's in a report on Thursday. It may take another four years to clear a glut of one million homes left from the building boom.
Mrs Merkel chided the country gently yesterday for letting a "property bubble" spin out of control in the boom years. Her words prompted a furious reaction from Madrid.
Foreign minister Jose Manuel Garcia-Margallo said Spain itself was the victim, flooded with cheap capital from northern European banks. "It is true that Spain and some other countries lived beyond their means but that was because banks from the core made lots of money investing here," he said.
Fed repaid on Bear and AIG rescue loans - Financial Times
June 15, 2012 12:24 am
Debt crisis: years of Greek recession take their toll as election looms - Daily Telegraph
His struggle to make ends meet exemplifies the plight of Greeks mired in a fifth year of recession. Yesterday the official unemployment rate rose to a record 22.6 per cent in the first quarter. But the hungry civil servant's attitude towards the general election on Sunday also typifies the polarized nature of the national debate.
The race has boiled down to choice between a coalition led by either New Democracy, the conservative establishment party, or Syriza, an insurgent Leftist coalition.
Vangelis will support the latter, as he did in a May 6 vote, when Syriza stunned the whole of Europe by coming second and then confounded attempts to form a national unity government, so requiring Sunday's fresh election. New Democracy, however, led narrowly in the last public opinion polls before they closed on June 2 under Greek law. Private polling since has shown a similar trend.
The stakes could hardly be higher. The vote has been presented as a de facto referendum on Greece's membership of the euro because of the pledge by Alexis Tsipras, Syriza's 37-year-old leader, to revise the second memorandum of understanding between and international institutions and lenders, which contained the toughest austerity measures and brought riots to the capital's streets.
His demands include a three to five year moratorium on Greece's interest payments, a rapid recapitalisation of the country's banking system and a restoration of unemployment benefit and the minimum wage to pre-crisis levels - reforms that were required by the memorandum.
Though Mr Tsipras has given himself some wriggle room, by not committing to a unilateral cancellation of the agreement, his critics claim that his demands would be so inflammatory that Berlin and Brussels would soon give up on the Greeks. The next tranche of Greece's bailout funding would then be withheld, so hastening its exit from the euro.
Officially, Mr Tsipras is committed to staying in the currency, though the same cannot be said for all the members of his coalition. But his gamble is that German leaders are bluffing when they say that a Greek exit from the euro would be manageable.
Like many Greeks, he reckons that although his country is small enough to represent just two per cent of the eurozone's output, it is big enough to be the first domino that starts the collapse of the single currency.
He is hoping that supposed disillusion in Europe with austerity will work in his favour and loosen the creditors' grip on the Greek economy.
"Tsipras is trying to convince people that we can stay in the euro with him in charge," said Spiros Rizopoulos, head of Spin Communications, a consultancy in Athens. "But if he thinks Angela Merkel is going to back down – well, he can say that, but I can say I am Brad Pitt, but am I am not Brad Pitt."
Greek bank shares rose 19pc yesterday, bucking European trends on market talk that broadly pro-bailout parties are likely to prevail on Sunday.
But few people will vote with enthusiasm for New Democracy. Its 61-year-old leader Antonis Samaras is seen by many Greeks as part of the corrupt old guard responsible for what Wolfgang Schaeuble, the German finance minister, this week called "decades of economic mismanagement".
Though Mr Samaras says he wants to renegotiate the memorandum, his demands would be minor compared to those of his rival Mr Tsipras.
Neither however has presented a convincing vision for rebuilding Greece's sclerotic bureaucracy and lack of competitiveness.
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