Forex Trading Experts Offer an Alternative Online Trading Tool - Int'l Business Times Forex Trading Experts Offer an Alternative Online Trading Tool - Int'l Business Times

Tuesday, June 19, 2012

Forex Trading Experts Offer an Alternative Online Trading Tool - Int'l Business Times

Forex Trading Experts Offer an Alternative Online Trading Tool - Int'l Business Times

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Forex Bureaux Face Imminent Shutdown - Modern Ghana

The Bank of Ghana is putting the activities of forex bureau operators in its monitoring radar for possible sanctions and license withdrawal. Suleiman Mustapha asks why

The Bank of Ghana has threatened to impose severe sanctions including license withdrawal of forex bureau operators who accept deposits and do large foreign exchange transactions.

Central Bank Governor and Chairman of the Monetary Policy Committee (MPC) of the Bank of Ghana, Mr Kwesi Amissah-Arthur has on the sidelines of an MPC news conference in Accra hinted some forex bureau operators are now accepting deposits and doing large foreign exchange transactions.

The bank is therefore setting out measures to monitor the activities of forex bureau operators in a bid to stem the rising spate of dollarization of the national economy.

“Yes we are worried that some of the forex bureau operators now accept deposits like the normal banks and transact large volumes of foreign exchange business”.

“They are part of the problem and we will soon be rolling out tough measures to stem their illegal activities”, the Governor said.

The Bank of Ghana is even more worried of the growing trend of dollarization, which he partly blamed on the activities of forex bureau operators.

According to the Governor, the central bank will continuously be reviewing the books and constantly monitor the activities of forex bureau operators for possible sanction in breach of the country’s foreign exchange rules.

“It is our view that this will contribute to restoring confidence in the cedi” he said, adding that “the Bank will issue the necessary notices to this effect in due course”.

“They are supposed to do spot transaction of the small foreign currency, which does not require having to go to the commercial banks to exchange”.

“But what we have observed is that some of them are accepting deposits and moving large volumes of foreign exchange around”, he added.

The Bank of Ghana has mopped up GH¢1.2 billion in excess liquidity from the system in a bid to stem the exchange rate pressure and reduce demand for dollars.

In a move to halt the growing trend of ‘dollarization’ and stabilize the cedi, the Central Bank is also reviewing the currency composition of the reserve requirements of commercial banks.

Dollarization is characterized by a tendency for businesses to sell their goods and services in foreign currencies, particularly, dollars.

The service providers quote exchange rates that are significantly off-market. The fringe exchange rates trickle down into the market and become benchmark rates, unduly influencing market rates.

The situation has fuelled price increases in the country and led the Bank of Ghana to tighten monetary policy, alter bank reserve requirements and reintroduce several bonds.

“The committee notes that the measures have begun to take effect. Increase in the policy rate have led to upward adjustments in rates of money markets instruments and improve the attractiveness of cedi assets compared to foreign currency assets”, Mr Amissah-Arthur said.

According to the Governor, though the Bank of Ghana was not considering abolishing the operation of foreign exchange accounts by citizens, it would move to restore the pre-eminence of the cedi in domestic transactions, which required strict adherence to the provisions of the Foreign Exchange Act 2006 (Act 723) and the accompanying regulations.

The Governor was worried about the large dollar deposits in commercial bank accounts, which he said had significantly contributed to the exchange rate pressure.

At the moment, the share of foreign currency deposits to total deposits in the banking system has increased from 27.9 per cent in April 2010 to 28.2 per cent in April 2011 and further to 31.8 per cent in April this year.

This means that some commercial banks have more foreign currency deposits than domestic currency in their total deposit.

The Bank of Ghana feared that those banks could be importing large volumes of foreign currency to service the needs of their clients.

During the first five months of the year, the cedi depreciated cumulatively by 15.1 per cent against the US dollar, compared to 1.9 per cent depreciation in the same period of 2011.

In recent weeks however, the pace of depreciation of the cedi has moderated as a result of the measures introduced to restore stability.

The real effective exchange rate depreciated by 6.8 per cent in January – April 2012, compared with a real appreciation of 5.9 per cent in the same period of 2011.

But Governor Amissah-Arthur assured Ghanaians that the end of the cedi fall was in sight



WORLD FOREX: Euro Shakes Off Gloomy News Ahead Of Fed Decision - NASDAQ



--Euro positive despite gloomy German ZEW numbers and "prohibitively" expensive Spanish T-bill auction

--UK inflation eases, boosting stimulus hopes

--Hungarian forint strengthens on IMF news

By Eva Szalay

The euro crept higher after a bruising start to the week as traders braced for the slim chance of further monetary easing from the U.S. Federal Reserve on Wednesday, with the currency stable despite a raft of negative news, including an expensive Spanish T-bill auction and a disappointing German business sentiment reading.

Some traders also pointed to unsubstantiated chatter of the European Central Bank buying under-fire Spanish government bonds as a contributing factor to the common currency's rise to $1.2620 against the dollar.

The gains came after a session of erratic moves and disheartening headlines that showed German economic expectations souring at the fastest rate for more than a decade. The widely-watched German ZEW economic expectations index fell to - 16.9 in June from May's unrevised 10.8.

"This was the fastest decline in sentiment since the height of the Russian/Long-Term Capital Management crisis in October 1998," Simon Derrick, a currency strategist at the Bank of New York Mellon, wrote in a note to clients.

The currency had earlier dropped to near the day's low of $1.2568 after the German constitutional court ruled that the German government hadn't informed parliament sufficiently about the configuration of the European Stability Mechanism. Traders sold the currency aggressively fearing the decision would throw more hurdles in the way of policymakers struggling to solve the region's debt crisis. But the currency staged a quick bounce as the realisation grew that the decision is just a reiteration of an earlier ruling.

Meanwhile, Spain auctioned 3.039 billion euros ($3.89 billion) of 12-month and 18-month papers, with what Marc Ostwald, an interest rate strategist at Monument Securities, described as "prohibitively" high costs. Yields on the 12- month offering almost doubled to 5.074% from 2.985% at the previous sale in May. The average yield on the 18-month bills came in at 5.107%, up from 3.302%.

The sharp rise in yields came after news that the second part of a forthcoming audit of Spanish banks would be delayed until September. The banking audit will be closely watched for determining how much help the country's banking sector could potentially need.

"Spain needs not only an ESM package to recapitalize its banks, it also needs an outright bailout package," Mr. Ostwald said.

However, some market-watchers said that large euro losses are unlikely for now, as the Fed announces its monetary policy stance Wednesday, with a small chance of further easing.

"Investors are likely to think twice about adding to (negative) positions in the euro before a potential Fed easing announcement," analysts at Danske Bank said in a note to clients.

The pound saw hefty declines after inflation undershot expectations and slowed to its lowest level in more than two years, boosting expectations that the central bank would engage in more monetary easing. The consumer price index rose 2.8% on the year in May against consensus views of a 3% rise. Sterling hit the day's low at $1.5616.

The Hungarian forint showed strong gains against the euro after news that Hungary is ready to move on to official talks with the International Monetary Fund and the European Commission.

At 1054 GMT the euro was trading at $1.2613 compared with $1.2577, according to EBS via CQG. The currency was at Y99.51 from Y99.47.

Sterling traded at $1.5666 compared with $1.5664.

The dollar was at Y78.81 from Y79.12 and at CHF0.9523 from CHF0.9551,

The ICE Dollar Index, which tracks the U.S. dollar against a basket of currencies, was at about 81.788 from 81.959.

A summary of key levels for chart-watching technical strategists is below:

 Forex spot:       EUR/USD    USD/JPY    GBP/USD    USD/CHF  Spot 1016 GMT     1.2625     78.94      1.5664     0.9513 3 Day Trend       Bearish    Bearish    Bullish    Range Weekly Trend      Range      Range      Range      Bullish 200 day ma        1.3183     79.62      1.5823     0.9199 3rd Resistance    1.2748     79.51      1.5785     0.9650 2nd Resistance    1.2702     79.31      1.5742     0.9595 1st Resistance    1.2669     79.14      1.5695     0.9565 Pivot*            1.2615     79.03      1.5681     0.9513 1st Support       1.2568     78.78      1.5615     0.9503 2nd Support       1.2557     78.61      1.5599     0.9475 3rd Support       1.2518     78.18      1.5511     0.9420   Forex spot:       AUD/USD  Spot 1016 GMT     1.0152 3 Day Trend       Bullish Weekly Trend      Bullish 200 day ma        1.0247 3rd Resistance    1.0274 2nd Resistance    1.0247 1st Resistance    1.0225 Pivot*            1.0107 1st Support       1.0104 2nd Support       1.0057 3rd Support       1.0011  

Write to Eva Szalay at eva.szalay@dowjones.com

    (END) Dow Jones Newswires   06-19-120745ET   Copyright (c) 2012 Dow Jones & Company, Inc. 



FOREX-Euro rises on Greek news; dollar down ahead of Fed - Reuters

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