FXstreet.com (Barcelona) - In the absence of any negative news this morning, riskier assets were traded with more confidence, the loonie being no exception. Since it's thrashing in European session yesterday afternoon, the pair has recovered nicely and is trading at opening levels, setting in the 1.0240 region presently. With a shortage of any figures or data trickling out of Canada today, investors may instead focus on the housing and building reports out of the USA at 12:30 GMT today. In more immediate relevance towards the pair, the price of crude has settled at USD $83.02, down another -0.30% after yesterdays collapse in price.
The cross is now declining by the slimmest of margins at a rate of -0.01 % and, according to the ICN.com analysts, will be safeguarded by supports at 1.0200, 1.0150, and ultimately 1.0100. On the other hand, the currency pair will encounter resistance at 1.0250, then 1.0290, and finally 1.0310
WORLD FOREX: Euro Shakes Off Gloomy News Ahead Of Fed Decision - NASDAQ
--Euro positive despite gloomy German ZEW numbers and "prohibitively" expensive Spanish T-bill auction
--UK inflation eases, boosting stimulus hopes
--Hungarian forint strengthens on IMF news
By Eva Szalay
The euro crept higher after a bruising start to the week as traders braced for the slim chance of further monetary easing from the U.S. Federal Reserve on Wednesday, with the currency stable despite a raft of negative news, including an expensive Spanish T-bill auction and a disappointing German business sentiment reading.
Some traders also pointed to unsubstantiated chatter of the European Central Bank buying under-fire Spanish government bonds as a contributing factor to the common currency's rise to $1.2620 against the dollar.
The gains came after a session of erratic moves and disheartening headlines that showed German economic expectations souring at the fastest rate for more than a decade. The widely-watched German ZEW economic expectations index fell to - 16.9 in June from May's unrevised 10.8.
"This was the fastest decline in sentiment since the height of the Russian/Long-Term Capital Management crisis in October 1998," Simon Derrick, a currency strategist at the Bank of New York Mellon, wrote in a note to clients.
The currency had earlier dropped to near the day's low of $1.2568 after the German constitutional court ruled that the German government hadn't informed parliament sufficiently about the configuration of the European Stability Mechanism. Traders sold the currency aggressively fearing the decision would throw more hurdles in the way of policymakers struggling to solve the region's debt crisis. But the currency staged a quick bounce as the realisation grew that the decision is just a reiteration of an earlier ruling.
Meanwhile, Spain auctioned 3.039 billion euros ($3.89 billion) of 12-month and 18-month papers, with what Marc Ostwald, an interest rate strategist at Monument Securities, described as "prohibitively" high costs. Yields on the 12- month offering almost doubled to 5.074% from 2.985% at the previous sale in May. The average yield on the 18-month bills came in at 5.107%, up from 3.302%.
The sharp rise in yields came after news that the second part of a forthcoming audit of Spanish banks would be delayed until September. The banking audit will be closely watched for determining how much help the country's banking sector could potentially need.
"Spain needs not only an ESM package to recapitalize its banks, it also needs an outright bailout package," Mr. Ostwald said.
However, some market-watchers said that large euro losses are unlikely for now, as the Fed announces its monetary policy stance Wednesday, with a small chance of further easing.
"Investors are likely to think twice about adding to (negative) positions in the euro before a potential Fed easing announcement," analysts at Danske Bank said in a note to clients.
The pound saw hefty declines after inflation undershot expectations and slowed to its lowest level in more than two years, boosting expectations that the central bank would engage in more monetary easing. The consumer price index rose 2.8% on the year in May against consensus views of a 3% rise. Sterling hit the day's low at $1.5616.
The Hungarian forint showed strong gains against the euro after news that Hungary is ready to move on to official talks with the International Monetary Fund and the European Commission.
At 1054 GMT the euro was trading at $1.2613 compared with $1.2577, according to EBS via CQG. The currency was at Y99.51 from Y99.47.
Sterling traded at $1.5666 compared with $1.5664.
The dollar was at Y78.81 from Y79.12 and at CHF0.9523 from CHF0.9551,
The ICE Dollar Index, which tracks the U.S. dollar against a basket of currencies, was at about 81.788 from 81.959.
A summary of key levels for chart-watching technical strategists is below:
Forex spot: EUR/USD USD/JPY GBP/USD USD/CHF Spot 1016 GMT 1.2625 78.94 1.5664 0.9513 3 Day Trend Bearish Bearish Bullish Range Weekly Trend Range Range Range Bullish 200 day ma 1.3183 79.62 1.5823 0.9199 3rd Resistance 1.2748 79.51 1.5785 0.9650 2nd Resistance 1.2702 79.31 1.5742 0.9595 1st Resistance 1.2669 79.14 1.5695 0.9565 Pivot* 1.2615 79.03 1.5681 0.9513 1st Support 1.2568 78.78 1.5615 0.9503 2nd Support 1.2557 78.61 1.5599 0.9475 3rd Support 1.2518 78.18 1.5511 0.9420 Forex spot: AUD/USD Spot 1016 GMT 1.0152 3 Day Trend Bullish Weekly Trend Bullish 200 day ma 1.0247 3rd Resistance 1.0274 2nd Resistance 1.0247 1st Resistance 1.0225 Pivot* 1.0107 1st Support 1.0104 2nd Support 1.0057 3rd Support 1.0011
Write to Eva Szalay at eva.szalay@dowjones.com
(END) Dow Jones Newswires 06-19-120745ET Copyright (c) 2012 Dow Jones & Company, Inc.
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